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Updated 3 min. ago
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
4 %
chance
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
19 outcomesTotal volume
$3.3M
24h vol.
$26.8K
1w vol.
$130.6K
1m vol.
$666.7K
Liquidity
$163.3K
Bid / Ask
3¢ / 4¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
4¢
Start date
Nov 15, 2025
End date
Oct 28, 2026
ends in 1 wk.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 min. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 31 |
| 5 min. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 1 |
| 5 min. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 10 |
| 5 min. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 20 |
| 7 min. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 5 |
| 7 min. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 5 |
| 8 min. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 26 |
| 8 min. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 26 |
| 8 min. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 2,550 |
| 8 min. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 500 |
| 8 min. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 2,000 |
| 8 min. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 50 |
| 8 min. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 14,297 |
| 8 min. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 1,800 |
| 8 min. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 455 |
| 8 min. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 5,168 |
| 8 min. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 6,874 |
| 8 min. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 6 |
| 8 min. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 6 |
| 8 min. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 2,938 |
| 8 min. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 2,938 |
| 8 min. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 187 |
| 8 min. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 187 |
| 8 min. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 19,589 |
| 8 min. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 10,000 |
| 8 min. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 4,756 |
| 8 min. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 25 |
| 8 min. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 2,298 |
| 8 min. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 1,005 |
| 8 min. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 1,346 |
| 8 min. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 133 |
| 8 min. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 10 |
| 8 min. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 6 |
| 8 min. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 10 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 100 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 18 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 10 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 72 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 43 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 43 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 50 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 17 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 10 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 22 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 81 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 22 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 50 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 9 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 14 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 4 |
◆ Smart money
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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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