Skip to content

← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 2 hr. ago

Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Politics
Log in for watchlist

0 %

chance

▲ +0.1%24h▼ −0.3%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Total volume

$1.8M

24h vol.

$26K

1w vol.

$136.7K

1m vol.

$251.8K

Liquidity

$255.8K

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 0¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Nov 15, 2025

End date

Oct 28, 2026

ends in 1 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$4,779
0¢$75,688
Asks (sell)Size
0¢$9,032
0¢$20,005
1¢$1,942
1¢$26,079
1¢$25
1¢$25,013
1¢$6,108
1¢$10,083
1¢$3,549
1¢$10,000

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 27%Sells 73%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 hr. agoSell100¢2
2 hr. agoSell0¢2
3 hr. agoBuy100¢2
3 hr. agoBuy0¢2
3 hr. agoSell100¢0
3 hr. agoSell0¢0
5 hr. agoSell100¢2
5 hr. agoSell0¢2
5 hr. agoBuy100¢2
5 hr. agoBuy0¢2
5 hr. agoSell100¢0
5 hr. agoSell0¢0
5 hr. agoBuy100¢4
5 hr. agoBuy0¢4
6 hr. agoSell100¢0
6 hr. agoSell0¢0
6 hr. agoSell100¢8
6 hr. agoSell0¢8
6 hr. agoSell0¢600
6 hr. agoBuy0¢600
6 hr. agoSell100¢150
6 hr. agoSell0¢50
6 hr. agoSell0¢100
6 hr. agoSell100¢450
6 hr. agoSell0¢450
6 hr. agoSell100¢1
6 hr. agoSell0¢1
6 hr. agoBuy100¢2
6 hr. agoBuy0¢2
6 hr. agoSell0¢1,010
6 hr. agoBuy0¢1,010
6 hr. agoSell100¢1,010
6 hr. agoSell0¢1,010
6 hr. agoSell100¢7
6 hr. agoSell0¢7
7 hr. agoSell100¢8
7 hr. agoSell0¢8
7 hr. agoSell100¢1
7 hr. agoSell0¢1
7 hr. agoSell0¢840
7 hr. agoBuy0¢840
7 hr. agoSell100¢420
7 hr. agoSell0¢420
7 hr. agoSell100¢420
7 hr. agoSell0¢420
8 hr. agoBuy100¢15
8 hr. agoBuy0¢15
8 hr. agoBuy0¢333
8 hr. agoSell0¢333
9 hr. agoSell100¢0

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.