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Updated 42 min. ago

Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 9-15?

Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 9-15?

Crypto

3 %

chance

▼ −1.1%1h▼ −8.6%24h
Yes 3¢No 97¢
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Market brief

  • At 3%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
  • Down 8.6 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 51% on Nov 9, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 17 buys, 33 sells; the largest was $1.12K (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 1% of Polymarket Crypto markets priced 0–5% one day before the end resolved YES (1,066 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 4 days (Nov 16, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

✦ AI assessment

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What price will Bitcoin hit November 9-15?

14 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$53.9K

24h vol.

$34.4K

Liquidity

$57.6K

End date

Nov 16, 2026

ends in 4 days

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
  • Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
  • Smart moneyPro+Who holds the largest positions here, and how each wallet has done on resolved markets.
  • Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.
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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$53.9K

Bid / Ask

3¢ / 3¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

4¢

Start date

Nov 9, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
4¢$80
4¢$60
3¢$50
3¢$364
3¢$314
3¢$100
3¢$150
3¢$100
3¢$280
3¢$100
Asks (sell)Size
4¢$264
4¢$264
4¢$300
4¢$3,050
4¢$50
5¢$386
5¢$2,280
5¢$105
5¢$370
6¢$2,280

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 94%Sells 6%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
43 min. agoSell4¢20
52 min. agoSell4¢30
59 min. agoSell4¢60
1 hr. agoSell4¢60
1 hr. agoSell4¢100
1 hr. agoSell5¢84
2 hr. agoBuy6¢121
2 hr. agoBuy6¢264
2 hr. agoBuy5¢85
2 hr. agoBuy5¢20
2 hr. agoSell4¢1
2 hr. agoBuy5¢2,000
2 hr. agoSell4¢129
2 hr. agoBuy4¢251
2 hr. agoBuy4¢257
2 hr. agoBuy4¢1
4 hr. agoSell7¢101
5 hr. agoSell8¢15
5 hr. agoBuy8¢3,343
6 hr. agoBuy7¢500
7 hr. agoSell10¢3
7 hr. agoBuy10¢58
7 hr. agoBuy9¢4,322
8 hr. agoBuy9¢2
8 hr. agoSell8¢17
9 hr. agoSell10¢6
9 hr. agoSell10¢20
9 hr. agoSell10¢1
9 hr. agoBuy11¢17
9 hr. agoSell10¢1
9 hr. agoSell10¢10
10 hr. agoSell10¢5
10 hr. agoSell10¢6
10 hr. agoSell10¢5
10 hr. agoSell10¢1
10 hr. agoSell10¢11
10 hr. agoSell10¢1
10 hr. agoBuy11¢909
10 hr. agoSell10¢1
10 hr. agoBuy11¢13
11 hr. agoSell10¢16
11 hr. agoSell10¢111
11 hr. agoSell10¢19
11 hr. agoSell10¢1
11 hr. agoSell10¢2
11 hr. agoSell10¢1
11 hr. agoBuy10¢11,215
11 hr. agoSell9¢218
11 hr. agoSell10¢380
11 hr. agoSell10¢12
Rules & resolution

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Event:
What price will Bitcoin hit November 9-15?
Resolution source:
https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT

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