Updated 16 hr. ago
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 November 9-15?
100 %
chance
Market brief
- At 100%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
- Last 15 trades: 10 buys, 5 sells; the largest was $25.4K (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 100% of Polymarket Crypto markets priced 95–100% one day before the end resolved YES (649 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
- Scheduled to end in 4 days (Nov 16, 2026).
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
What price will Bitcoin hit November 9-15?
14 outcomesUnderstand this market
Background that stays useful after this market resolves.
Total volume
$28.6K
24h vol.
$28.6K
Liquidity
$42.4K
End date
Nov 16, 2026
ends in 4 days
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
- Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
Bid / Ask
100¢ / 100¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
100¢
Start date
Nov 11, 2026
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Recent trades (15)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 1,954 |
| 17 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 25,415 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 1,000 |
| 17 hr. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 20 |
| 17 hr. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 5 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 42 |
| 17 hr. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 5 |
| 17 hr. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 5 |
| 17 hr. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 18 |
| 18 hr. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 5 |
| 18 hr. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 5 |
| 19 hr. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 1 |
| 21 hr. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 10 |
| 21 hr. ago | Sell | 49¢ | 68 |
| 21 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 68 |
Rules & resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the date range specified in the title has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
- Event:
- What price will Bitcoin hit November 9-15?
- Resolution source:
- https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT
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