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Updated 2 days ago

Will Alice Huang be federally charged by December 31, 2026?

Will Alice Huang be federally charged by December 31, 2026?

PoliticsGeopoliticsCultureWorld

5 %

chance

▼ −0.5%1h▼ −3.0%24h
Yes 5¢No 95¢
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Market brief

  • Down 3.0 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 30% on Nov 10, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 22 buys, 28 sells; the largest was $2.31K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 8% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before the end resolved YES (409 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 2 mo. (Jan 1, 2027).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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Alice Huang federally charged by?

2 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$13.7K

24h vol.

$1.2K

Liquidity

$76.5K

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

What a plan adds on this market

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  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$13.7K

Bid / Ask

4¢ / 6¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

6¢

Start date

Nov 9, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
6¢$9,085
5¢$3,679
4¢$17,359
3¢$5,910
2¢$6,168
1¢$66,825
Asks (sell)Size
7¢$130
8¢$6,545
9¢$17,426
10¢$7,772
11¢$6,914
12¢$259
14¢$500
15¢$500
16¢$500
19¢$62

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 28%Sells 72%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 days agoSell7¢67
2 days agoSell7¢83
2 days agoSell7¢50
2 days agoSell8¢2,513
2 days agoSell7¢100
2 days agoSell8¢121
2 days agoBuy9¢100
3 days agoBuy9¢52
3 days agoSell8¢100
3 days agoBuy9¢50
3 days agoBuy9¢111
3 days agoBuy9¢56
3 days agoSell8¢10
3 days agoBuy9¢56
3 days agoBuy10¢27
3 days agoSell8¢45
3 days agoBuy10¢5
3 days agoBuy10¢80
3 days agoBuy10¢11
3 days agoBuy10¢10
3 days agoSell11¢5
3 days agoBuy14¢1
3 days agoSell10¢0
3 days agoSell10¢50
3 days agoSell11¢1,363
3 days agoSell10¢91
3 days agoSell10¢50
3 days agoSell10¢6
3 days agoSell10¢50
3 days agoSell10¢90
3 days agoSell10¢50
3 days agoSell10¢51
3 days agoSell11¢2
3 days agoSell11¢2
3 days agoBuy13¢50
3 days agoBuy13¢27
3 days agoBuy12¢1,042
3 days agoBuy13¢49
3 days agoBuy13¢110
3 days agoBuy12¢19
3 days agoBuy12¢9
3 days agoBuy12¢9
3 days agoSell11¢5
3 days agoBuy12¢0
3 days agoSell11¢5
3 days agoSell11¢5
3 days agoSell11¢5
3 days agoSell11¢5
3 days agoSell11¢5
4 days agoBuy15¢10
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Alice Huang (also known as Huang Le), a former executive of Megaspeed International, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A federal criminal complaint, information, or indictment naming Huang as a defendant will qualify. Charges filed under seal will qualify only once they are unsealed or publicly announced by the US federal government within this market's timeframe, regardless of when they were originally filed. Charges against Megaspeed International or any other entity or individual, civil actions, sanctions, and export-control penalties will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Event:
Alice Huang federally charged by?

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