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Updated 3 mo. ago

Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Politics
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2 %

chance

▼ −0.2%1h▼ −0.8%24h▲ +0.1%1W
Yes 2¢No 98¢

Total volume

$11.3K

24h vol.

$32.6

1w vol.

$32.6

1m vol.

$242.18

Liquidity

$11.3K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 3¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Nov 19, 2025

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 400 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
2¢$28
2¢$464
2¢$626
2¢$240
2¢$3,456
1¢$4,444
1¢$617
1¢$455
1¢$1,380
1¢$556
Asks (sell)Size
2¢$49
3¢$100
3¢$39
3¢$225
3¢$300
4¢$448
4¢$361
4¢$1,248
4¢$873
4¢$2,577

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 69%Sells 31%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 mo. agoSell2¢7
3 mo. agoBuy2¢7
3 mo. agoSell2¢20
3 mo. agoBuy2¢20
3 mo. agoSell2¢50
3 mo. agoBuy2¢49
3 mo. agoBuy2¢1
3 mo. agoSell2¢50
3 mo. agoBuy2¢50
3 mo. agoBuy2¢30
3 mo. agoSell2¢5
3 mo. agoSell2¢25
3 mo. agoSell98¢21
3 mo. agoSell2¢11
3 mo. agoSell2¢10
3 mo. agoSell2¢50
3 mo. agoBuy2¢20
3 mo. agoBuy3¢30
3 mo. agoSell2¢50
3 mo. agoBuy2¢50
3 mo. agoSell2¢148
3 mo. agoBuy2¢10
3 mo. agoSell98¢138
3 mo. agoSell2¢50
3 mo. agoSell98¢27
3 mo. agoBuy2¢23
3 mo. agoSell2¢65
3 mo. agoSell98¢65
3 mo. agoSell3¢5
3 mo. agoSell98¢5
3 mo. agoSell3¢85
3 mo. agoSell98¢85
3 mo. agoSell3¢30
3 mo. agoBuy3¢30
3 mo. agoSell3¢100
3 mo. agoBuy3¢70
3 mo. agoBuy3¢30
3 mo. agoSell3¢148
3 mo. agoBuy3¢148
3 mo. agoSell3¢19
3 mo. agoBuy3¢19
3 mo. agoSell4¢19
3 mo. agoBuy4¢19
3 mo. agoBuy96¢1,816
3 mo. agoBuy4¢80
3 mo. agoBuy4¢100
3 mo. agoBuy4¢50
3 mo. agoBuy4¢50
3 mo. agoBuy4¢50
3 mo. agoBuy4¢50

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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