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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?

Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?

Politics
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5 %

chance

▼ −0.7%1h▼ −0.4%24h▼ −0.7%1W
Yes 5¢No 95¢

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

50 outcomes

Total volume

$39.3K

24h vol.

$45.88

1w vol.

$359.71

1m vol.

$1.7K

Liquidity

$14.5K

Bid / Ask

4¢ / 7¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

4¢

Start date

Nov 19, 2025

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢
Bids (buy)Size
4¢$20
2¢$20
2¢$61
1¢$100
1¢$168
0¢$161
0¢$97
0¢$1,370
0¢$629
Asks (sell)Size
7¢$20
8¢$20
19¢$27
19¢$38
20¢$5
56¢$9
56¢$30
61¢$9
61¢$1,641
62¢$9

Snapshot from cache

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 23%Sells 77%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy96¢15
1 mo. agoBuy4¢15
1 mo. agoSell2¢7
1 mo. agoBuy2¢7
1 mo. agoBuy6¢20
1 mo. agoSell6¢3
1 mo. agoSell6¢17
1 mo. agoSell5¢60
1 mo. agoBuy4¢30
1 mo. agoSell94¢30
1 mo. agoSell96¢1,347
1 mo. agoSell14¢18
1 mo. agoSell7¢40
1 mo. agoSell6¢50
1 mo. agoBuy94¢61
1 mo. agoSell6¢101
1 mo. agoBuy95¢16
1 mo. agoSell4¢36
1 mo. agoSell4¢100
1 mo. agoSell4¢100
1 mo. agoSell3¢100
1 mo. agoSell3¢84
1 mo. agoSell3¢100
1 mo. agoSell3¢100
1 mo. agoSell3¢57
1 mo. agoSell3¢43
1 mo. agoSell3¢100
1 mo. agoSell3¢30
1 mo. agoSell3¢100
1 mo. agoBuy97¢28
1 mo. agoSell3¢43
1 mo. agoBuy97¢30
1 mo. agoSell2¢10
1 mo. agoBuy2¢184
1 mo. agoSell3¢103
1 mo. agoSell2¢51
1 mo. agoBuy98¢30
1 mo. agoBuy1¢154
1 mo. agoSell2¢50
1 mo. agoSell2¢35
1 mo. agoSell1¢35
1 mo. agoSell1¢6
1 mo. agoSell1¢6
1 mo. agoSell1¢17
1 mo. agoSell1¢6
1 mo. agoBuy1¢195
1 mo. agoSell1¢195
1 mo. agoBuy1¢225
1 mo. agoSell1¢137
1 mo. agoSell1¢88

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