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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027?

Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027?

Politics
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5 %

chance

▼ −0.1%24h▼ −1.6%1W
Yes 5¢No 95¢

Total volume

$9.1K

24h vol.

$60

1w vol.

$60

1m vol.

$1.1K

Liquidity

$12.3K

Bid / Ask

5¢ / 6¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

5¢

Start date

Nov 19, 2025

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$40
1¢$100
1¢$100
0¢$800
0¢$20,047
0¢$1,975
0¢$36,236
Asks (sell)Size
3¢$20
3¢$47
3¢$265
3¢$100
4¢$100
4¢$86
7¢$159
7¢$493
9¢$346
14¢$132

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 46%Sells 54%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell97¢6
1 mo. agoBuy97¢6
1 mo. agoBuy97¢7
1 mo. agoBuy3¢7
1 mo. agoBuy3¢5
1 mo. agoSell3¢5
2 mo. agoBuy98¢5
2 mo. agoSell98¢5
2 mo. agoSell97¢6
2 mo. agoBuy97¢6
2 mo. agoSell97¢6
2 mo. agoBuy97¢6
2 mo. agoBuy98¢6
2 mo. agoSell98¢6
2 mo. agoSell2¢10
2 mo. agoSell98¢10
2 mo. agoBuy2¢25
2 mo. agoSell2¢25
3 mo. agoSell2¢11
3 mo. agoSell98¢11
3 mo. agoSell2¢40
3 mo. agoSell98¢40
3 mo. agoSell2¢40
3 mo. agoSell98¢25
3 mo. agoBuy2¢10
3 mo. agoBuy2¢5
3 mo. agoSell1¢5
3 mo. agoBuy1¢5
3 mo. agoSell1¢100
3 mo. agoBuy1¢30
3 mo. agoBuy1¢40
3 mo. agoBuy1¢30
3 mo. agoBuy4¢28
3 mo. agoSell4¢28
3 mo. agoSell1¢100
3 mo. agoBuy1¢100
3 mo. agoSell2¢951
3 mo. agoBuy1¢91
3 mo. agoBuy1¢100
3 mo. agoBuy1¢100
3 mo. agoBuy2¢195
3 mo. agoBuy2¢425
3 mo. agoBuy2¢40
3 mo. agoSell2¢30
3 mo. agoBuy2¢30
3 mo. agoSell2¢30
3 mo. agoBuy2¢30
3 mo. agoSell2¢15
3 mo. agoBuy2¢15
3 mo. agoSell2¢55

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A signal is present in this market.

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.