Skip to content

← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027?

Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027?

Politics
Log in for watchlist

3 %

chance

▼ −0.1%1h▲ +0.1%24h▲ +0.5%1W
Yes 3¢No 97¢

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

50 outcomes

Total volume

$9.8K

24h vol.

$111.48

1w vol.

$111.48

1m vol.

$228.172

Liquidity

$10.5K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 5¢

Spread 4¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Nov 19, 2025

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 4¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$80
1¢$100
1¢$5
0¢$243
0¢$405
0¢$8,736
Asks (sell)Size
5¢$30
5¢$301
58¢$200
59¢$120
59¢$5
60¢$1,600
65¢$2,286
70¢$2,667
75¢$3,520
80¢$5,200

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 54%Sells 46%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy1¢88
1 mo. agoSell1¢38
1 mo. agoSell1¢50
1 mo. agoSell1¢10
1 mo. agoBuy1¢10
1 mo. agoSell1¢50
1 mo. agoBuy1¢10
1 mo. agoBuy1¢40
1 mo. agoSell99¢2
1 mo. agoSell1¢2
1 mo. agoSell1¢10
1 mo. agoBuy1¢10
1 mo. agoSell2¢10
1 mo. agoBuy2¢10
2 mo. agoSell1¢6
2 mo. agoBuy1¢6
2 mo. agoSell1¢10
2 mo. agoBuy1¢10
2 mo. agoSell1¢0
2 mo. agoBuy1¢0
2 mo. agoSell1¢34
2 mo. agoBuy1¢24
2 mo. agoBuy1¢10
2 mo. agoBuy4¢116
2 mo. agoSell5¢17
2 mo. agoSell5¢29
2 mo. agoBuy96¢71
2 mo. agoBuy4¢34
2 mo. agoBuy96¢29
2 mo. agoBuy96¢5
3 mo. agoSell97¢48
3 mo. agoSell3¢43
3 mo. agoBuy97¢5
3 mo. agoBuy5¢40
3 mo. agoSell5¢40
3 mo. agoBuy5¢40
3 mo. agoSell5¢40
3 mo. agoBuy5¢40
3 mo. agoSell5¢40
3 mo. agoBuy5¢40
3 mo. agoSell5¢40
3 mo. agoBuy5¢40
3 mo. agoSell5¢40
3 mo. agoBuy96¢6
3 mo. agoSell96¢6
3 mo. agoSell95¢7
3 mo. agoSell5¢7
3 mo. agoSell95¢3
3 mo. agoSell5¢3
3 mo. agoBuy96¢7

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.