← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 1 mo. ago
Will Kristi Noem announce a presidential run before 2027?
3 %
chance
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
50 outcomes- Pete Buttigieg53 %
- Rahm Emanuel24 %
- Phil Murphy23 %
- Ron DeSantis14 %
- Gavin Newsom14 %
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13 %
- Andy Beshear12 %
- Mark Kelly12 %
- Ted Cruz10 %
- Raphael Warnock10 %
- Greg Abbott9 %
- Glenn Youngkin7 %
- Kamala Harris7 %
- Cory Booker7 %
- Gina Raimondo7 %
- Don Lemon7 %
- J.B. Pritzker7 %
- Rand Paul6 %
- Jon Stewart6 %
- Nikki Haley6 %
- Vivek Ramaswamy6 %
- Josh Shapiro6 %
- Josh Hawley5 %
- J.D. Vance5 %
- Beto O’Rourke5 %
- Jon Ossoff5 %
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.5 %
- Brian Kemp5 %
- Tom Brady5 %
- George Clooney5 %
- Andrew Yang4 %
- Marco Rubio4 %
- Hunter Biden4 %
- John Thune4 %
- Oprah Winfrey4 %
- John Fetterman4 %
- Tucker Carlson4 %
- Erika Kirk4 %
- Donald Trump Jr.4 %
- Marjorie Taylor Greene4 %
- Liz Cheney4 %
- Ivanka Trump3 %
- Zohran Mamdani3 %
- Gretchen Whitmer3 %
- Wes Moore3 %
- Donald Trump3 %
- Kristi Noem3 %
- Elon Musk3 %
- LeBron James3 %
- Steve Bannon3 %
Total volume
$20.2K
24h vol.
$123
1w vol.
$150
1m vol.
$365.3
Liquidity
$11.4K
Bid / Ask
2¢ / 4¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
4¢
Start date
Nov 19, 2025
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 1 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 15 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 15 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 8 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 1 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 7 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 8 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 8 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 1 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 1 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 6 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 6 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 2 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 2 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 1 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 1 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 4 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 4 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 6 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 6 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 4 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 4 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 2 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 2 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 3 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 3 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 3 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 3 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 7 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 7 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 6 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 6 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 2 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 2 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 2 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 2 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 7 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 7 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 6 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 6 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 2 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 2 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 2 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 2 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 9 |
◆ Smart money
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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
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◆ Kalshi comparison
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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
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Related markets
The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.