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Updated 9 min. ago

Will Jensen Huang join SpaceX by December 31, 2026?

Will Jensen Huang join SpaceX by December 31, 2026?

Tech

9 %

chance

▼ −1.4%1h▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 9¢No 91¢

Market brief

  • Last 50 trades: 30 buys, 20 sells; the largest was $1.19K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 12% of Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before the end resolved YES (1,777 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 2 mo. (Jan 1, 2027).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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Total volume

$62.6K

24h vol.

$62.6K

Liquidity

$45.8K

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

Bid / Ask

8¢ / 10¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

10¢

Start date

Nov 12, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
8¢$97
7¢$22
7¢$261
7¢$500
7¢$921
7¢$300
7¢$1,050
7¢$5,000
7¢$1,047
6¢$2,519
Asks (sell)Size
10¢$50
10¢$1,108
10¢$600
10¢$434
10¢$921
11¢$50
11¢$950
11¢$300
11¢$1,121
11¢$323

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 57%Sells 43%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
24 min. agoSell8¢2
24 min. agoBuy10¢1,031
25 min. agoSell8¢2
25 min. agoBuy10¢496
27 min. agoBuy10¢20
27 min. agoBuy9¢32
31 min. agoSell7¢39
31 min. agoSell7¢39
36 min. agoSell7¢2
36 min. agoSell7¢100
36 min. agoSell7¢5
36 min. agoSell8¢1,299
38 min. agoBuy10¢51
42 min. agoSell9¢2
43 min. agoSell9¢60
44 min. agoBuy10¢30
47 min. agoBuy10¢30
50 min. agoBuy10¢50
53 min. agoSell10¢467
1 hr. agoBuy10¢20
1 hr. agoBuy10¢30
1 hr. agoBuy10¢10
1 hr. agoBuy11¢9
1 hr. agoSell8¢577
1 hr. agoSell9¢390
1 hr. agoBuy11¢158
1 hr. agoBuy11¢169
2 hr. agoBuy11¢1
2 hr. agoBuy11¢44
2 hr. agoSell11¢23
2 hr. agoSell11¢23
2 hr. agoSell10¢112
2 hr. agoBuy11¢600
2 hr. agoBuy10¢15
2 hr. agoSell10¢8
2 hr. agoBuy11¢50
2 hr. agoBuy11¢475
2 hr. agoBuy10¢50
2 hr. agoBuy10¢50
2 hr. agoBuy10¢100
2 hr. agoSell9¢6
2 hr. agoBuy10¢301
2 hr. agoBuy10¢50
2 hr. agoBuy10¢50
2 hr. agoBuy10¢250
2 hr. agoBuy10¢10
2 hr. agoBuy10¢10
2 hr. agoBuy11¢18
3 hr. agoSell9¢8
3 hr. agoSell11¢8
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jensen Huang is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of SpaceX by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market, SpaceX includes Space Exploration Technologies Corp., SpaceXAI (formerly xAI), and any of SpaceX’s subsidiaries or controlled entities. Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at SpaceX, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of SpaceX will also qualify. Merely investing in SpaceX (including investments by NVIDIA), entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, or working for an independent organization that collaborates with or provides services to SpaceX will not qualify unless Jensen Huang also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure. An official announcement that Jensen Huang has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role. The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX, the relevant governance body, Elon Musk, or Jensen Huang; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event:
Will Jensen Huang join SpaceX by December 31, 2026?

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