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Updated 3 days ago

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
68 %
chance
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
10 outcomesTotal volume
$722K
24h vol.
$408.488
1w vol.
$74.2K
1m vol.
$105.2K
Liquidity
$66K
Bid / Ask
67¢ / 69¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
70¢
Start date
May 19, 2026
End date
Jan 5, 2027
ends in 3 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,762 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.6 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 days ago | Buy | 70¢ | 6 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 30¢ | 6 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 30¢ | 200 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 70¢ | 100 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 70¢ | 100 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 71¢ | 70 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 71¢ | 44 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 71¢ | 26 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 69¢ | 5 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 69¢ | 5 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 31¢ | 125 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 69¢ | 25 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 31¢ | 100 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 69¢ | 29 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 31¢ | 29 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 31¢ | 100 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 31¢ | 82 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 31¢ | 18 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 69¢ | 42 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 31¢ | 42 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 70¢ | 1,693 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 70¢ | 1,693 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 69¢ | 30 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 31¢ | 30 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 68¢ | 1,278 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 68¢ | 1,218 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 67¢ | 30 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 33¢ | 30 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 64¢ | 1,489 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 35¢ | 165 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 36¢ | 900 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 64¢ | 15 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 37¢ | 100 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 63¢ | 308 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 67¢ | 880 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 33¢ | 588 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 33¢ | 286 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 67¢ | 6 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 67¢ | 165 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 33¢ | 165 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 61¢ | 37 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 39¢ | 37 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 36¢ | 10 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 36¢ | 10 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 37¢ | 439 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 63¢ | 100 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 37¢ | 100 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 63¢ | 209 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 37¢ | 10 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 37¢ | 10 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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◆ Kalshi comparison
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
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