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Updated 35 min. ago

Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on November 12?

Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on November 12?

Crypto

71 %

chance

▲ +17.5%1h▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 71¢No 29¢
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Market brief

  • Last 50 trades: 19 buys, 31 sells; the largest was $1.95K (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 74% of Polymarket Crypto markets priced 65–85% one day before the end resolved YES (125 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 13 hr. (Nov 13, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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What price will Bitcoin hit on November 12?

5 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$40.7K

24h vol.

$40.7K

Liquidity

$17.8K

End date

Nov 13, 2026

ends in 13 hr.

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
  • Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
  • Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.
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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

Bid / Ask

70¢ / 72¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

76¢

Start date

Nov 12, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 7¢
Bids (buy)Size
61¢$80
60¢$3,408
59¢$655
58¢$595
53¢$3,960
49¢$20
42¢$90
41¢$4,600
37¢$20
36¢$10
Asks (sell)Size
68¢$60
69¢$50
70¢$425
71¢$9,744
72¢$50
73¢$5,760
78¢$1,605
79¢$400
80¢$13,093
84¢$40

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 45%Sells 55%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
38 min. agoSell78¢50
39 min. agoSell74¢55
40 min. agoSell76¢40
40 min. agoSell76¢62
40 min. agoSell77¢41
40 min. agoBuy77¢10
41 min. agoSell79¢110
41 min. agoSell82¢2,467
41 min. agoSell83¢40
41 min. agoSell83¢3
41 min. agoSell83¢17
41 min. agoBuy83¢215
41 min. agoSell70¢37
42 min. agoSell67¢2
42 min. agoBuy70¢40
44 min. agoBuy66¢10
45 min. agoSell69¢50
45 min. agoBuy69¢50
46 min. agoSell63¢100
47 min. agoSell54¢2
47 min. agoBuy56¢20
50 min. agoBuy65¢5
51 min. agoBuy64¢20
51 min. agoBuy63¢2
51 min. agoBuy59¢40
52 min. agoBuy51¢37
53 min. agoBuy45¢1
53 min. agoBuy45¢119
53 min. agoBuy43¢20
57 min. agoBuy41¢30
58 min. agoSell42¢20
1 hr. agoSell48¢40
1 hr. agoSell50¢111
1 hr. agoSell50¢250
1 hr. agoSell55¢50
1 hr. agoSell55¢50
1 hr. agoSell54¢50
1 hr. agoSell52¢475
1 hr. agoSell58¢278
1 hr. agoBuy56¢40
1 hr. agoBuy55¢6
1 hr. agoBuy53¢49
1 hr. agoSell53¢100
1 hr. agoSell53¢28
1 hr. agoSell54¢50
1 hr. agoSell54¢40
1 hr. agoSell54¢214
1 hr. agoBuy54¢3,618
1 hr. agoSell54¢264
1 hr. agoSell52¢247
Rules & resolution

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Event:
What price will Bitcoin hit on November 12?
Resolution source:
https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT

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