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Updated 5 min. ago

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on November 12?

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on November 12?

Crypto

29 %

chance

▲ +6.1%1h▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 29¢No 71¢
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Market brief

  • Last 50 trades: 22 buys, 28 sells; the largest was $613 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 24% of Polymarket Crypto markets priced 15–35% one day before the end resolved YES (137 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 13 hr. (Nov 13, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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What price will Bitcoin hit on November 12?

5 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$47.6K

24h vol.

$47.6K

Liquidity

$27.2K

End date

Nov 13, 2026

ends in 13 hr.

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
  • Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
  • Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.
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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

Bid / Ask

26¢ / 31¢

Spread 5¢

Last trade

33¢

Start date

Nov 12, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 4¢
Bids (buy)Size
26¢$152
26¢$30
26¢$65
26¢$4,970
25¢$20
24¢$233
24¢$2,153
23¢$2,300
23¢$3,000
22¢$5
Asks (sell)Size
30¢$36
30¢$459
30¢$31
31¢$31
31¢$31
32¢$62
32¢$262
32¢$3,000
33¢$4,970
33¢$400

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 65%Sells 35%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
11 min. agoBuy33¢20
11 min. agoBuy32¢421
18 min. agoSell30¢9
18 min. agoBuy32¢3
19 min. agoSell29¢66
26 min. agoSell37¢13
29 min. agoBuy35¢428
29 min. agoBuy36¢200
29 min. agoBuy35¢20
30 min. agoBuy35¢340
31 min. agoSell35¢149
31 min. agoBuy38¢78
31 min. agoBuy37¢68
31 min. agoSell37¢70
33 min. agoBuy33¢420
33 min. agoBuy33¢57
34 min. agoSell31¢1,244
36 min. agoSell27¢17
39 min. agoSell32¢1
39 min. agoBuy37¢1,667
39 min. agoBuy38¢112
39 min. agoSell35¢35
40 min. agoBuy34¢124
46 min. agoSell24¢5
46 min. agoBuy25¢500
48 min. agoBuy25¢30
49 min. agoBuy25¢30
50 min. agoBuy30¢13
51 min. agoSell25¢0
51 min. agoBuy25¢20
51 min. agoSell22¢0
52 min. agoSell20¢1
55 min. agoBuy16¢253
56 min. agoSell13¢35
57 min. agoSell15¢5
57 min. agoSell17¢0
57 min. agoSell13¢0
1 hr. agoSell21¢6
1 hr. agoSell21¢10
1 hr. agoSell20¢6
1 hr. agoSell20¢10
1 hr. agoSell20¢10
1 hr. agoSell20¢10
1 hr. agoSell22¢51
1 hr. agoSell20¢73
1 hr. agoBuy21¢144
1 hr. agoSell23¢856
1 hr. agoSell21¢0
1 hr. agoSell22¢0
1 hr. agoBuy20¢40
Rules & resolution

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Event:
What price will Bitcoin hit on November 12?
Resolution source:
https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT

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