Updated 16 hr. ago
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 17 to November 24, 2026?
14 %
chance
Market brief
- Last 28 trades: 21 buys, 7 sells; the largest was $150 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 8% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before the end resolved YES (409 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
- Scheduled to end in 1 wk. (Nov 24, 2026).
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
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Elon Musk # tweets November 17 - November 24, 2026?
30 outcomesUnderstand this market
Background that stays useful after this market resolves.
Total volume
$1.8K
24h vol.
$1.8K
Liquidity
$8.1K
End date
Nov 24, 2026
ends in 1 wk.
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
Bid / Ask
13¢ / 14¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
14¢
Start date
Nov 14, 2026
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (28)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 hr. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 25 |
| 17 hr. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 7 |
| 18 hr. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 46 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 20 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 15¢ | 300 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 13¢ | 94 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 15¢ | 1 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 15¢ | 10 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 15¢ | 2 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 12¢ | 701 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 15¢ | 16 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 14¢ | 17 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 14¢ | 57 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 13¢ | 17 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 13¢ | 20 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 13¢ | 20 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 13¢ | 18 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 13¢ | 20 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 11¢ | 10 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 11¢ | 10 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 11¢ | 10 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 11¢ | 10 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 9¢ | 20 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 9¢ | 39 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 12¢ | 171 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 12¢ | 19 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 12¢ | 15 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 12¢ | 5 |
Rules & resolution
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 17 12:00 PM ET to November 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
- Event:
- Elon Musk # tweets November 17 - November 24, 2026?
- Resolution source:
- https://x.com/elonmusk
- Note:
- Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).
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