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Updated 1 day ago
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?
73 %
chance
Market brief
- Historically, 68% of Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before the end resolved YES (1,900 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 1 mo. (Dec 1, 2026).
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Elon Musk # tweets in November 2026?
46 outcomes- 1000+73 %
- 960-99910 %
- 920-95910 %
- 880-9194 %
- 800-8394 %
- 840-8793 %
- 780-7992 %
- 760-7791 %
- 740-7591 %
- 560-5791 %
- 700-7191 %
- 680-6991 %
- 720-7391 %
- 580-5990 %
- 600-6190 %
- 640-6590 %
- 660-6790 %
- 620-6390 %
- 540-5590 %
- 20-390 %
- 520-5390 %
- 480-4990 %
- 460-4790 %
- <200 %
- 420-4390 %
- 440-4590 %
- 500-5190 %
- 60-790 %
- 140-1590 %
- 200-2190 %
- 340-3590 %
- 300-3190 %
- 360-3790 %
- 320-3390 %
- 400-4190 %
- 220-2390 %
- 180-1990 %
- 380-3990 %
- 120-1390 %
- 240-2590 %
- 160-1790 %
- 260-2790 %
- 280-2990 %
- 100-1190 %
- 80-990 %
- 40-590 %
Total volume
$1.8K
24h vol.
$1.8K
1w vol.
$1.8K
1m vol.
$1.8K
Liquidity
$1.8K
Bid / Ask
70¢ / 75¢
Spread 5¢
Last trade
76¢
Start date
Oct 24, 2026
End date
Dec 1, 2026
ends in 1 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,900 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.3% resolved YES. That is 4.8 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 63¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (3)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day ago | Sell | 55¢ | 9 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 57¢ | 9 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 48¢ | 20 |
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