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Updated 1 day ago

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

13 %

chance

▼ −1.0%24h
Yes 13¢No 88¢

Market brief

  • Last 31 trades: 9 buys, 22 sells; the largest was $91 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 7% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before the end resolved YES (399 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 1 wk. (Nov 20, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$2.6K

24h vol.

$721.722

Liquidity

$9.6K

End date

Nov 20, 2026

ends in 1 wk.

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$2.6K

Bid / Ask

12¢ / 13¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

13¢

Start date

Nov 10, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
12¢$2,504
11¢$1,173
10¢$170
9¢$484
8¢$334
7¢$387
6¢$333
5¢$400
4¢$500
3¢$702
Asks (sell)Size
14¢$112
15¢$2,320
16¢$560
17¢$176
18¢$66
19¢$22
20¢$318
22¢$10
23¢$125
24¢$150

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (31)

Buys 71%Sells 29%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 day agoSell14¢15
1 day agoBuy15¢165
1 day agoSell14¢106
1 day agoSell14¢6
1 day agoBuy14¢208
1 day agoSell14¢14
1 day agoSell12¢6
1 day agoBuy14¢90
1 day agoBuy14¢284
1 day agoBuy13¢468
1 day agoSell12¢59
1 day agoBuy12¢25
1 day agoSell11¢50
1 day agoSell11¢46
1 day agoSell11¢45
1 day agoSell11¢60
1 day agoBuy12¢23
1 day agoBuy11¢77
2 days agoSell10¢66
2 days agoBuy11¢9
2 days agoSell10¢6
2 days agoSell10¢6
2 days agoSell10¢6
2 days agoSell10¢6
2 days agoSell10¢15
2 days agoSell10¢5
2 days agoSell10¢6
2 days agoSell10¢7
2 days agoSell10¢8
2 days agoSell10¢6
2 days agoSell10¢9
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 13 12:00 PM ET to November 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 13 - November 20, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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