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Updated 16 hr. ago

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 17 to November 24, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 17 to November 24, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

2 %

chance

▲ +0.1%1h▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 2¢No 98¢
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Market brief

  • At 2%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (614 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 1 wk. (Nov 24, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

✦ AI assessment

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Elon Musk # tweets November 17 - November 24, 2026?

30 outcomes
See all 30 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$1.2K

24h vol.

$1.2K

Liquidity

$8.2K

End date

Nov 24, 2026

ends in 1 wk.

What a plan adds on this market

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

Bid / Ask

2¢ / 2¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

2¢

Start date

Nov 14, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
2¢$169
2¢$68
2¢$169
2¢$54
2¢$31
2¢$59
2¢$32,408
1¢$75
1¢$3,419
1¢$3,636
Asks (sell)Size
2¢$223
3¢$100
3¢$41
3¢$41
3¢$100
3¢$38
3¢$5
3¢$36
3¢$10
4¢$34

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (4)

Buys 5%Sells 95%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
23 hr. agoSell2¢100
24 hr. agoBuy2¢45
1 day agoSell2¢283
1 day agoSell1¢400
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 17 12:00 PM ET to November 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 17 - November 24, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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