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Updated 2 min. ago

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

45 %

chance

▲ +4.5%1h▲ +29.0%24h
Yes 45¢No 55¢
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Market brief

  • Up 29.0 pp in the last 24 hours, after dipping to 14% on Nov 14, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 31 buys, 19 sells; the largest was $247 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 47% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 35–65% one day before the end resolved YES (158 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 1 day (Nov 16, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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Elon Musk # tweets November 14 - November 16, 2026?

10 outcomes
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Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$24.7K

24h vol.

$22.1K

Liquidity

$3.9K

End date

Nov 16, 2026

ends in 1 day

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$24.7K

Bid / Ask

44¢ / 46¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

46¢

Start date

Nov 12, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
44¢$115
43¢$80
42¢$176
41¢$77
40¢$23
39¢$263
38¢$46
37¢$100
36¢$155
35¢$10
Asks (sell)Size
46¢$5
47¢$27
48¢$125
49¢$186
50¢$158
51¢$243
52¢$108
53¢$67
55¢$116
56¢$255

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 49%Sells 51%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
11 min. agoSell44¢23
11 min. agoBuy46¢110
11 min. agoBuy45¢310
11 min. agoSell44¢5
12 min. agoBuy42¢253
12 min. agoBuy40¢34
16 min. agoSell39¢56
20 min. agoSell40¢100
22 min. agoSell41¢78
52 min. agoBuy43¢23
56 min. agoBuy42¢74
56 min. agoSell41¢35
57 min. agoSell40¢11
57 min. agoSell40¢52
1 hr. agoBuy41¢154
1 hr. agoSell42¢11
1 hr. agoBuy41¢8
1 hr. agoBuy42¢2
1 hr. agoSell41¢2
1 hr. agoSell40¢52
1 hr. agoSell40¢52
1 hr. agoBuy40¢36
1 hr. agoBuy40¢8
1 hr. agoBuy40¢13
1 hr. agoBuy40¢9
1 hr. agoBuy40¢44
1 hr. agoSell39¢200
1 hr. agoBuy40¢6
1 hr. agoBuy40¢69
1 hr. agoBuy40¢15
1 hr. agoSell40¢282
1 hr. agoBuy40¢18
1 hr. agoBuy40¢10
1 hr. agoBuy40¢10
1 hr. agoBuy41¢139
1 hr. agoSell41¢28
1 hr. agoBuy40¢7
2 hr. agoBuy41¢19
2 hr. agoSell38¢76
2 hr. agoSell39¢634
2 hr. agoBuy40¢103
2 hr. agoSell39¢8
2 hr. agoSell38¢280
2 hr. agoBuy38¢190
2 hr. agoBuy38¢35
2 hr. agoBuy38¢3
2 hr. agoBuy38¢51
2 hr. agoBuy38¢102
2 hr. agoBuy38¢37
2 hr. agoBuy38¢31
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 14 12:00 PM ET to November 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 14 - November 16, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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