Next CEO of NVIDIA? odds
Live implied probabilities across 19 outcomes · $344.5K traded · updated 47 min. ago
Resolves Jan 1, 2029
Ian Buck leads at 35 % · biggest 24h move: Lisa Su −36.8 pp
#OutcomeChance24hVolume7d
- 1Ian Buck35 %—$41.6K
- 2Colette Kress21 %▲ +15.8%$100.4K
- 3Rene Haas11 %—$1.3K
- 4Eric Schmidt10 %—$1.2K
- 5Jensen Huang (No Change)5 %—$141.7K
- 6Nico Caprez3 %—$9.3K
- 7Jay Puri3 %▼ −5.9%$12.3K
- 8Lisa Su3 %▼ −36.8%$4.6K
- 9Chris Malachowsky3 %—$2.2K
- 10Michael Kagan2 %—$2K
- 11Madison Huang2 %▼ −14.1%$20.6K
- 12Spencer Huang1 %—$780.085
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See the AI's numberFrequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite in Next CEO of NVIDIA??
- Ian Buck is the current favourite at 35 %, ahead of 18 other outcomes. That number is the market's implied probability right now, and it moves as people trade.
- What do these odds actually mean?
- Each percentage is the market's implied probability — the price of a contract that pays out $1 if that outcome happens. An outcome trading at 30 % means the market thinks it happens roughly three times in ten. Across a field like this the percentages add up to about 100 %, because exactly one outcome can win.
- How often do these odds update?
- Prices refresh every 15 minutes from Polymarket. The 24-hour column shows how far each outcome has moved in percentage points since yesterday.
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