Updated 20 min. ago

Will Madison Huang be the next CEO of NVIDIA?
2 %
chance
Market brief
- At 2%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
- Down 12.5 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 50% on Nov 10, 2026.
- Last 50 trades: 19 buys, 31 sells; the largest was $553 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 3% of Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (164 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
- Scheduled to end in 2 yr. (Jan 1, 2029).
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Next CEO of NVIDIA?
19 outcomesUnderstand this market
Background that stays useful after this market resolves.
Total volume
$21.6K
24h vol.
$20.5K
Liquidity
$18.7K
End date
Jan 1, 2029
ends in 2 yr.
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
1w vol.
$21.6K
Bid / Ask
1¢ / 3¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
3¢
Start date
Nov 10, 2026
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 min. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 345 |
| 25 min. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 312 |
| 37 min. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 172 |
| 41 min. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 10 |
| 47 min. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 1 |
| 49 min. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 38 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 111 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 177 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 68 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 30 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 40 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 50 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 23 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 15 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 46 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 40 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 73 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 72 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 23 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 43 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 50 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 300 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 21 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 75 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 103 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 520 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 5 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 50 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 693 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 314 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 2,071 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 556 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 58 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 172 |
| 13 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 178 |
| 13 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 36 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 5 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 5 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 13 |
| 14 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 1,000 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 5 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 6 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 2 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 86 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 177 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 40 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 20 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 20 |
Rules & resolution
This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the successor to Jensen Huang as CEO of NVIDIA Corporation by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of NVIDIA. Interim CEOs will not qualify. If no successor is announced by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Jensen Huang (No Change)”. The resolution source will be public statements from NVIDIA Corporation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Event:
- Next CEO of NVIDIA?
- Note:
- Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).
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