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Updated 35 min. ago

Will Lisa Su be the next CEO of NVIDIA?

Will Lisa Su be the next CEO of NVIDIA?

TechCulture

3 %

chance

▲ +0.1%1h▼ −5.1%24h
Yes 3¢No 97¢

Market brief

  • At 3%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
  • Down 5.1 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 53% on Nov 10, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 12 buys, 38 sells; the largest was $554 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 3% of Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (164 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 2 yr. (Jan 1, 2029).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

✦ AI assessment

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Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$7.2K

24h vol.

$6.5K

Liquidity

$13.8K

End date

Jan 1, 2029

ends in 2 yr.

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$7.2K

Bid / Ask

2¢ / 3¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

3¢

Start date

Nov 10, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$1,093
1¢$1,800
1¢$1,090
1¢$5,333
1¢$1,111
1¢$625
1¢$714
1¢$1,433
1¢$2,000
0¢$1,675
Asks (sell)Size
3¢$30
3¢$80
4¢$102
4¢$1,959
4¢$859
4¢$200
4¢$200
5¢$395
5¢$100
6¢$1,000

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 38%Sells 62%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
41 min. agoSell1¢14
53 min. agoBuy3¢212
54 min. agoBuy3¢155
1 hr. agoBuy3¢178
1 hr. agoSell1¢5
2 hr. agoSell1¢30
2 hr. agoBuy3¢38
2 hr. agoSell1¢40
2 hr. agoSell1¢5
2 hr. agoSell1¢50
2 hr. agoSell1¢23
2 hr. agoSell1¢15
2 hr. agoSell1¢46
2 hr. agoSell1¢72
2 hr. agoSell1¢40
2 hr. agoSell1¢73
2 hr. agoSell1¢43
2 hr. agoSell1¢23
2 hr. agoSell1¢50
2 hr. agoSell1¢5
2 hr. agoSell1¢300
2 hr. agoSell1¢21
2 hr. agoSell1¢75
2 hr. agoSell1¢13
4 hr. agoSell1¢5
4 hr. agoBuy3¢50
9 hr. agoSell0¢556
9 hr. agoSell0¢58
10 hr. agoBuy3¢80
10 hr. agoBuy3¢32
11 hr. agoSell2¢150
12 hr. agoBuy3¢11
13 hr. agoBuy3¢30
13 hr. agoBuy3¢152
13 hr. agoSell0¢5
13 hr. agoSell0¢13
14 hr. agoBuy3¢318
14 hr. agoBuy2¢20
15 hr. agoSell2¢5
15 hr. agoSell2¢6
15 hr. agoSell2¢2
15 hr. agoSell2¢86
15 hr. agoSell3¢20
15 hr. agoSell2¢18
15 hr. agoSell3¢3
15 hr. agoSell3¢106
15 hr. agoSell3¢20
15 hr. agoSell3¢47
15 hr. agoSell3¢20
15 hr. agoSell3¢30
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the successor to Jensen Huang as CEO of NVIDIA Corporation by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of NVIDIA. Interim CEOs will not qualify. If no successor is announced by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Jensen Huang (No Change)”. The resolution source will be public statements from NVIDIA Corporation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event:
Next CEO of NVIDIA?
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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