Updated 5 min. ago
Will Ian Buck be the next CEO of NVIDIA?
31 %
chance
Market brief
- Last 50 trades: 29 buys, 21 sells; the largest was $6.04K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 30% of Polymarket markets across all topics priced 15–35% seven days before the end resolved YES (4,522 cases). That is more often than their average price of 26% implied — prices in this range have run low.
- Scheduled to end in 2 yr. (Jan 1, 2029).
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
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Next CEO of NVIDIA?
19 outcomesUnderstand this market
Background that stays useful after this market resolves.
Total volume
$64.1K
24h vol.
$64.1K
Liquidity
$26.4K
End date
Jan 1, 2029
ends in 2 yr.
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
Bid / Ask
30¢ / 32¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
32¢
Start date
Nov 11, 2026
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 min. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 331 |
| 5 min. ago | Sell | 33¢ | 2,364 |
| 10 min. ago | Sell | 33¢ | 150 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 34¢ | 294 |
| 13 min. ago | Buy | 34¢ | 29 |
| 16 min. ago | Sell | 33¢ | 280 |
| 17 min. ago | Buy | 34¢ | 28 |
| 18 min. ago | Buy | 34¢ | 13 |
| 19 min. ago | Buy | 34¢ | 106 |
| 20 min. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 1,052 |
| 20 min. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 15 |
| 22 min. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 1,353 |
| 22 min. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 9 |
| 24 min. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 264 |
| 28 min. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 6 |
| 29 min. ago | Sell | 31¢ | 3 |
| 30 min. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 30 |
| 31 min. ago | Sell | 31¢ | 6 |
| 31 min. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 53 |
| 32 min. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 6 |
| 33 min. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 9 |
| 33 min. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 5 |
| 33 min. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 150 |
| 34 min. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 105 |
| 36 min. ago | Sell | 33¢ | 46 |
| 36 min. ago | Buy | 34¢ | 44 |
| 38 min. ago | Sell | 33¢ | 191 |
| 38 min. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 10 |
| 38 min. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 10 |
| 38 min. ago | Sell | 34¢ | 9,212 |
| 38 min. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 349 |
| 39 min. ago | Buy | 37¢ | 5 |
| 42 min. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 1,111 |
| 42 min. ago | Sell | 35¢ | 5 |
| 43 min. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 28 |
| 44 min. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 14 |
| 44 min. ago | Sell | 35¢ | 14 |
| 44 min. ago | Sell | 35¢ | 31 |
| 45 min. ago | Sell | 35¢ | 11 |
| 49 min. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 56 |
| 49 min. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 3 |
| 49 min. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 286 |
| 50 min. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 11 |
| 51 min. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 6 |
| 51 min. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 77 |
| 51 min. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 107 |
| 52 min. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 7 |
| 53 min. ago | Sell | 34¢ | 18 |
| 53 min. ago | Sell | 34¢ | 32 |
| 54 min. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 57 |
Rules & resolution
This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the successor to Jensen Huang as CEO of NVIDIA Corporation by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of NVIDIA. Interim CEOs will not qualify. If no successor is announced by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Jensen Huang (No Change)”. The resolution source will be public statements from NVIDIA Corporation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Event:
- Next CEO of NVIDIA?
- Note:
- Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).
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