Daily recap
Prediction market recap — Oct 7, 2026
The moves that mattered across Polymarket, plus where the AI disagreed with the market. Fresh every day — no signup.
This is an archived recap. See today's latest recap.
Top moves
Biggest 24-hour price swings on the public markets.
1
Will Justina Pula be the next President of Kosovo?96¢▲ +94.5%2
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung Lions12¢▼ −87.9%3Matthew Stafford: Retirement — Before the 2027-28 season16¢▼ −84.0%4Will Anna Bright qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?91¢▲ +83.5%5
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to an iron golem?100¢▲ +83.0%6Will Jorja Johnson qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?89¢▲ +81.5%
Will Justina Pula be the next President of Kosovo?96¢▲ +94.5%2KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung Lions12¢▼ −87.9%3Matthew Stafford: Retirement — Before the 2027-28 season16¢▼ −84.0%4Will Anna Bright qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?91¢▲ +83.5%5Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to an iron golem?100¢▲ +83.0%6Will Jorja Johnson qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?89¢▲ +81.5%Where AI disagrees with the market
The widest gaps between the market price and the AI's research-based estimate.
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Market 14%AI 59%-44 pp gapUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Market 75%AI 38%+37 pp gap
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Market 43%AI 61%-18 pp gap
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Market 31%AI 18%+13 pp gap
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Market 43%AI 61%-18 pp gapWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Market 31%AI 18%+13 pp gapBiggest coin moves
The largest 24-hour price swings among the coins in our crypto hub.
Fresh AI research
Markets our AI analysed most recently.
New to prediction markets? Start with the beginner guides. Looking for a full field rather than a single market? Browse live odds by topic.