Daily recap

Prediction market recap — Oct 13, 2026

The moves that mattered across Polymarket, plus where the AI disagreed with the market. Fresh every day — no signup.

This is an archived recap. See today's latest recap.

Top moves

Biggest 24-hour price swings on the public markets.

M15 Monastir: Nazim Makhlouf vs Tuncay Duran100¢▲ +92.6%2Will Mauricio Dubón win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?95¢▲ +86.1%3Will Anna Bright qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?91¢▲ +83.5%4

Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (HIGH) $171 Week of October 12 2026?10¢▼ −83.0%5Will Jorja Johnson qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?89¢▲ +81.5%6Will Zemun be relegated from the 2026-27 Serbian SuperLiga?92¢▲ +80.0%

Where AI disagrees with the market

The widest gaps between the market price and the AI's research-based estimate.

Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Market 57%AI 39%+18 pp gap

Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Market 59%AI 72%-13 pp gap

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Market 22%AI 16%+6 pp gap

Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?Market 16%AI 10%+6 pp gap

Biggest coin moves

The largest 24-hour price swings among the coins in our crypto hub.

Starknet STRK$0.0849▼ −21.0%Useless Coin USELESS$0.1766▼ −13.9%Stacks STX$0.4333▲ +12.0%Pump.fun PUMP$0.0050459▼ −11.8%Sei SEI$0.0636▼ −9.0%Render RENDER$2.15▲ +8.8%

Fresh AI research

Markets our AI analysed most recently.

Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?58¢Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?5¢

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House10¢

Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?14¢

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