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Updated 3 days ago

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Politics
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20 %

chance

▼ −0.1%1h▼ −0.3%24h▲ +0.7%1W
Yes 20¢No 80¢

Presidential Election Winner 2028

50 outcomes
See all 50 outcomes

Total volume

$17.2M

24h vol.

$2.1K

1w vol.

$69.5K

1m vol.

$756.7K

Liquidity

$481.4K

Bid / Ask

20¢ / 20¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

20¢

Start date

Jul 11, 2025

End date

Nov 8, 2028

ends in 2 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
21¢$3,003
21¢$565
21¢$137
21¢$50
21¢$50
21¢$1,515
20¢$220
20¢$10,447
20¢$10,111
20¢$571
Asks (sell)Size
21¢$9,665
21¢$516
21¢$20
21¢$50
22¢$1,725
22¢$10,250
22¢$5,000
22¢$578
22¢$1,507
22¢$9,482

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 68%Sells 32%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 days agoSell79¢1
3 days agoSell21¢1
3 days agoSell21¢250
3 days agoBuy21¢250
3 days agoSell21¢5
3 days agoBuy21¢5
3 days agoSell21¢65
3 days agoBuy21¢65
3 days agoBuy21¢5
3 days agoSell21¢5
3 days agoBuy21¢5
3 days agoSell21¢5
3 days agoSell21¢5
3 days agoBuy21¢5
3 days agoBuy21¢5
3 days agoSell21¢5
3 days agoSell21¢5
3 days agoBuy21¢5
3 days agoBuy21¢5
3 days agoSell21¢5
3 days agoBuy21¢85
3 days agoSell21¢85
3 days agoBuy79¢85
3 days agoBuy21¢85
3 days agoSell21¢14
3 days agoBuy21¢14
3 days agoSell21¢5
3 days agoBuy21¢5
3 days agoBuy21¢14
3 days agoSell21¢14
3 days agoBuy21¢5
3 days agoSell21¢5
3 days agoBuy79¢506
3 days agoBuy21¢506
4 days agoBuy79¢97
4 days agoBuy21¢97
4 days agoBuy21¢97
4 days agoSell21¢97
4 days agoBuy21¢1,199
4 days agoBuy79¢1,199
4 days agoSell21¢119
4 days agoSell79¢119
4 days agoSell21¢739
4 days agoSell79¢462
4 days agoBuy21¢261
4 days agoBuy21¢16
4 days agoSell21¢211
4 days agoBuy21¢194
4 days agoBuy21¢16
4 days agoSell21¢4

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.