Skip to content

← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 3 wk. ago

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Other
Log in for watchlist

1 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −0.2%1W
Yes 1¢No 99¢

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

16 outcomes
See all 16 outcomes

Total volume

$1.6M

24h vol.

$300

1w vol.

$3.4K

1m vol.

$94.7K

Liquidity

$120.2K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 1¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Jan 4, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$1,304
Asks (sell)Size
0¢$298
1¢$120
2¢$500
2¢$22
2¢$500
2¢$164
3¢$1,075
3¢$4,160
3¢$473
3¢$2,100

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 67%Sells 33%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 wk. agoSell0¢22
3 wk. agoBuy0¢22
3 wk. agoSell0¢677
3 wk. agoBuy0¢240
3 wk. agoSell100¢436
3 wk. agoSell0¢200
3 wk. agoBuy0¢200
3 wk. agoSell0¢39
3 wk. agoBuy0¢39
3 wk. agoBuy2¢97
3 wk. agoSell2¢92
3 wk. agoSell1¢5
3 wk. agoBuy1¢95
3 wk. agoSell1¢95
3 wk. agoBuy1¢56
3 wk. agoSell1¢50
3 wk. agoSell1¢6
3 wk. agoBuy0¢2,121
3 wk. agoSell0¢1,000
3 wk. agoSell0¢1,000
3 wk. agoSell0¢121
3 wk. agoSell0¢828
3 wk. agoBuy0¢107
3 wk. agoBuy0¢150
3 wk. agoBuy0¢6
3 wk. agoBuy0¢565
3 wk. agoBuy100¢14
3 wk. agoBuy0¢14
3 wk. agoSell0¢259
3 wk. agoBuy0¢259
3 wk. agoSell0¢1,316
3 wk. agoBuy0¢162
3 wk. agoBuy0¢1,000
3 wk. agoBuy0¢155
3 wk. agoSell0¢40
3 wk. agoBuy0¢40
3 wk. agoSell0¢51
3 wk. agoBuy0¢51
3 wk. agoSell0¢131
3 wk. agoBuy0¢131
3 wk. agoSell0¢623
3 wk. agoBuy0¢623
3 wk. agoSell0¢15
3 wk. agoBuy0¢15
3 wk. agoBuy1¢9,695
3 wk. agoBuy98¢86
3 wk. agoBuy98¢100
3 wk. agoSell2¢825
3 wk. agoSell2¢50
3 wk. agoSell1¢6

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.