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Updated 15 min. ago

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

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74 %

chance

▲ +2.0%24h▲ +2.3%1W
Yes 74¢No 26¢

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

16 outcomes
See all 16 outcomes

Total volume

$3.6M

24h vol.

$33.5K

1w vol.

$126.1K

1m vol.

$661.5K

Liquidity

$91.4K

Bid / Ask

74¢ / 74¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

74¢

Start date

Jan 4, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,762 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.6 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
74¢$173
73¢$30
73¢$50
73¢$100
72¢$2,420
72¢$385
72¢$500
72¢$1,636
71¢$100
71¢$50
Asks (sell)Size
74¢$1,251
74¢$22,573
74¢$4,450
74¢$1,725
74¢$693
74¢$278
75¢$111
75¢$68
75¢$25,182
75¢$555

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 40%Sells 60%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 hr. agoSell26¢3
3 hr. agoSell74¢3
4 hr. agoSell26¢2,352
4 hr. agoSell74¢1,021
4 hr. agoSell74¢1,210
4 hr. agoSell74¢71
4 hr. agoBuy26¢50
5 hr. agoSell74¢30
5 hr. agoBuy74¢30
6 hr. agoSell73¢782
6 hr. agoBuy73¢52
6 hr. agoBuy73¢100
6 hr. agoBuy73¢611
6 hr. agoSell27¢20
6 hr. agoBuy74¢34
6 hr. agoSell74¢34
6 hr. agoSell74¢4,422
6 hr. agoBuy74¢949
6 hr. agoBuy74¢135
6 hr. agoBuy74¢50
6 hr. agoBuy74¢556
6 hr. agoBuy74¢1,000
6 hr. agoBuy74¢500
6 hr. agoBuy74¢360
6 hr. agoBuy74¢50
6 hr. agoBuy74¢500
6 hr. agoBuy74¢122
6 hr. agoSell26¢68
6 hr. agoSell26¢32
6 hr. agoBuy74¢0
6 hr. agoBuy75¢100
6 hr. agoBuy27¢556
6 hr. agoBuy73¢389
6 hr. agoBuy74¢167
6 hr. agoBuy26¢385
6 hr. agoBuy74¢385
7 hr. agoBuy76¢5
7 hr. agoBuy24¢5
8 hr. agoSell24¢6
8 hr. agoBuy24¢6
8 hr. agoBuy26¢6
8 hr. agoBuy74¢6
10 hr. agoSell74¢12
10 hr. agoSell26¢12
10 hr. agoSell74¢0
10 hr. agoSell26¢0
10 hr. agoSell74¢26
10 hr. agoSell26¢26
10 hr. agoSell75¢369
10 hr. agoSell26¢100

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