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Updated 4 min. ago

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

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74 %

chance

▲ +2.0%24h▲ +2.3%1W
Yes 74¢No 26¢

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

16 outcomes
See all 16 outcomes

Total volume

$3.6M

24h vol.

$33.6K

1w vol.

$126.8K

1m vol.

$661.5K

Liquidity

$103K

Bid / Ask

74¢ / 74¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

74¢

Start date

Jan 4, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,762 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.6 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
74¢$50
73¢$30
73¢$100
73¢$188
72¢$2,436
72¢$588
72¢$485
72¢$450
72¢$1,686
71¢$100
Asks (sell)Size
74¢$1,251
74¢$26,551
74¢$4,441
74¢$1,721
74¢$277
75¢$112
75¢$68
75¢$24,083
75¢$455
75¢$2,532

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 40%Sells 60%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 hr. agoSell26¢3
2 hr. agoSell74¢3
3 hr. agoSell26¢2,352
3 hr. agoSell74¢1,021
3 hr. agoSell74¢1,210
3 hr. agoSell74¢71
3 hr. agoBuy26¢50
4 hr. agoSell74¢30
4 hr. agoBuy74¢30
5 hr. agoSell73¢782
5 hr. agoBuy73¢52
5 hr. agoBuy73¢100
5 hr. agoBuy73¢611
5 hr. agoSell27¢20
5 hr. agoBuy74¢34
5 hr. agoSell74¢34
5 hr. agoSell74¢4,422
5 hr. agoBuy74¢949
5 hr. agoBuy74¢135
5 hr. agoBuy74¢50
5 hr. agoBuy74¢556
5 hr. agoBuy74¢1,000
5 hr. agoBuy74¢500
5 hr. agoBuy74¢360
5 hr. agoBuy74¢50
5 hr. agoBuy74¢500
5 hr. agoBuy74¢122
5 hr. agoSell26¢68
5 hr. agoSell26¢32
5 hr. agoBuy74¢0
5 hr. agoBuy75¢100
5 hr. agoBuy27¢556
5 hr. agoBuy73¢389
5 hr. agoBuy74¢167
5 hr. agoBuy26¢385
5 hr. agoBuy74¢385
6 hr. agoBuy76¢5
6 hr. agoBuy24¢5
7 hr. agoSell24¢6
7 hr. agoBuy24¢6
7 hr. agoBuy26¢6
7 hr. agoBuy74¢6
9 hr. agoSell74¢12
9 hr. agoSell26¢12
9 hr. agoSell74¢0
9 hr. agoSell26¢0
9 hr. agoSell74¢26
9 hr. agoSell26¢26
9 hr. agoSell75¢369
9 hr. agoSell26¢100

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