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Updated 4 wk. ago
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
0 %
chance
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
16 outcomesTotal volume
$9.3M
24h vol.
$816.262
1w vol.
$17.6K
1m vol.
$92.5K
Liquidity
$252.3K
Bid / Ask
0¢ / 0¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Jan 4, 2026
End date
Dec 31, 2026
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 3 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 3 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 17 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 17 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 3 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 3 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 4 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 4 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 643 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 643 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 538 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 538 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 2 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 2 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 2 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 2 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 50 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 50 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 40 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 40 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 0 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 0 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 1 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 6 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 6 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 6 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 6 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 1 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 2 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 2 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 110 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 110 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 30 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 30 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 230 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 230 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 40 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 40 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 17 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 17 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 100 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 100 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
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