← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 4 hr. ago

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
18 %
chance
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
16 outcomesTotal volume
$2.4M
24h vol.
$23.2K
1w vol.
$91.6K
1m vol.
$591.2K
Liquidity
$114.2K
Bid / Ask
17¢ / 18¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
17¢
Start date
Jan 4, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 23 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 23 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 856 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 762 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 6 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 11 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 11 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 66 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 144 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 6 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 138 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 6 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 6 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 6 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 6 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 6 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 6 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 11 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 11 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 6 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 6 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 6 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 6 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 6 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 6 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 6 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 6 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 6 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 6 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 6 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 6 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 5 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 5 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 50 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 50 |
| 11 hr. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 7 |
| 11 hr. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 7 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 13 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 13 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 6 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 6 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 21 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 8 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 13 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 0 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 0 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 5 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 5 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 46 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 6 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.