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Updated 2 mo. ago

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

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2 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −1.2%1W
Yes 2¢No 98¢

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

7 outcomes
See all 7 outcomes

Total volume

$30.2K

24h vol.

$53.68

1w vol.

$107.364

1m vol.

$3.2K

Liquidity

$11.1K

Bid / Ask

2¢ / 2¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

2¢

Start date

Feb 6, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$100
0¢$268
0¢$333
0¢$2,222
0¢$12,141
Asks (sell)Size
1¢$200
1¢$297
2¢$100
2¢$35
2¢$1,049
3¢$30
4¢$62
7¢$134
8¢$20
8¢$175

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 81%Sells 19%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 mo. agoBuy1¢1,683
2 mo. agoBuy99¢400
2 mo. agoSell1¢35
2 mo. agoBuy99¢100
2 mo. agoSell1¢89
2 mo. agoSell1¢281
2 mo. agoSell1¢778
2 mo. agoSell0¢1
2 mo. agoBuy0¢1
2 mo. agoBuy100¢100
2 mo. agoBuy0¢52
2 mo. agoBuy0¢48
2 mo. agoBuy100¢52
2 mo. agoBuy0¢4
2 mo. agoBuy0¢48
2 mo. agoBuy100¢40
2 mo. agoBuy0¢40
2 mo. agoBuy100¢1,358
2 mo. agoBuy0¢12
2 mo. agoBuy0¢800
2 mo. agoBuy0¢100
2 mo. agoBuy0¢446
2 mo. agoBuy100¢52
2 mo. agoBuy0¢52
2 mo. agoBuy100¢135
2 mo. agoBuy0¢135
2 mo. agoBuy100¢8
2 mo. agoBuy0¢8
2 mo. agoBuy1¢388
2 mo. agoSell1¢388
2 mo. agoBuy100¢8
2 mo. agoBuy0¢8
2 mo. agoBuy100¢100
2 mo. agoBuy0¢100
2 mo. agoBuy100¢10
2 mo. agoBuy0¢10
2 mo. agoBuy100¢29
2 mo. agoBuy0¢9
2 mo. agoSell100¢20
2 mo. agoBuy100¢10
2 mo. agoBuy0¢10
2 mo. agoSell98¢9
2 mo. agoSell2¢9
2 mo. agoBuy1¢567
2 mo. agoBuy99¢400
2 mo. agoSell1¢10
2 mo. agoSell1¢100
2 mo. agoSell1¢57
2 mo. agoBuy100¢10
2 mo. agoBuy0¢10

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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