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Updated 13 min. ago

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

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7 %

chance

▼ −0.1%1h▲ +0.2%24h▲ +3.3%1W
Yes 7¢No 93¢

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

7 outcomes
See all 7 outcomes

Total volume

$85.9K

24h vol.

$4.4K

1w vol.

$24.3K

1m vol.

$46.4K

Liquidity

$20.7K

Bid / Ask

6¢ / 8¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

6¢

Start date

Feb 6, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
6¢$100
6¢$200
6¢$35
5¢$320
5¢$100
5¢$382
5¢$1,358
5¢$39
5¢$239
5¢$480
Asks (sell)Size
8¢$30
8¢$100
8¢$5,183
8¢$1,112
8¢$531
8¢$111
9¢$11
9¢$219
9¢$200
9¢$439

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 50%Sells 50%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 hr. agoSell93¢854
1 hr. agoBuy92¢394
1 hr. agoBuy92¢220
1 hr. agoSell7¢101
1 hr. agoSell6¢116
1 hr. agoSell6¢22
2 hr. agoBuy6¢1,000
2 hr. agoSell6¢1,000
3 hr. agoBuy6¢56
3 hr. agoSell6¢44
3 hr. agoSell6¢12
5 hr. agoSell5¢0
5 hr. agoBuy5¢0
5 hr. agoBuy5¢157
5 hr. agoSell5¢157
7 hr. agoSell5¢0
7 hr. agoBuy5¢0
7 hr. agoBuy5¢49
7 hr. agoSell5¢28
7 hr. agoSell5¢20
21 hr. agoSell5¢200
21 hr. agoBuy5¢100
21 hr. agoBuy5¢100
21 hr. agoBuy5¢130
21 hr. agoSell5¢130
21 hr. agoSell93¢22
21 hr. agoSell7¢22
21 hr. agoSell6¢1,147
21 hr. agoBuy6¢157
21 hr. agoBuy6¢33
21 hr. agoBuy6¢160
21 hr. agoBuy6¢600
21 hr. agoBuy6¢32
21 hr. agoBuy6¢22
21 hr. agoBuy6¢101
21 hr. agoBuy6¢20
21 hr. agoSell94¢21
21 hr. agoBuy95¢602
21 hr. agoBuy5¢10
21 hr. agoBuy5¢36
21 hr. agoSell95¢488
21 hr. agoBuy5¢35
21 hr. agoBuy5¢34
21 hr. agoBuy95¢163
21 hr. agoBuy5¢163
1 day agoBuy7¢21
1 day agoBuy93¢21
1 day agoBuy8¢18
1 day agoSell8¢18
1 day agoSell6¢0

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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