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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?

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25 %

chance

▲ +0.5%1h▼ −0.1%24h▲ +4.3%1W
Yes 25¢No 75¢

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

7 outcomes
See all 7 outcomes

Total volume

$93.6K

24h vol.

$112.195

1w vol.

$1.5K

1m vol.

$23.9K

Liquidity

$13.1K

Bid / Ask

24¢ / 25¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

25¢

Start date

Feb 6, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 3,440 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 30.3% resolved YES. That is 4.7 points more often than their average price of 25.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
21¢$119
21¢$100
21¢$8
20¢$8
20¢$8
19¢$58
19¢$44
19¢$161
18¢$100
18¢$88
Asks (sell)Size
22¢$208
23¢$8
23¢$8
23¢$8
23¢$8
28¢$396
28¢$493
28¢$2,192
28¢$309
28¢$30

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 79%Sells 21%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 wk. agoBuy22¢8
4 wk. agoSell22¢8
4 wk. agoSell78¢12
4 wk. agoSell22¢12
4 wk. agoSell78¢64
4 wk. agoSell22¢19
4 wk. agoSell22¢45
4 wk. agoSell78¢14
4 wk. agoBuy78¢14
4 wk. agoSell78¢8
4 wk. agoSell22¢8
4 wk. agoSell19¢25
4 wk. agoSell81¢25
4 wk. agoBuy19¢0
4 wk. agoSell19¢8
4 wk. agoBuy19¢8
4 wk. agoSell81¢0
4 wk. agoSell19¢43
4 wk. agoSell81¢43
4 wk. agoBuy20¢0
4 wk. agoSell20¢8
4 wk. agoBuy20¢8
4 wk. agoBuy21¢0
4 wk. agoSell21¢8
4 wk. agoBuy21¢8
4 wk. agoBuy78¢408
4 wk. agoBuy22¢100
4 wk. agoBuy22¢100
4 wk. agoBuy22¢100
4 wk. agoBuy22¢100
4 wk. agoBuy22¢8
4 wk. agoBuy79¢100
4 wk. agoBuy21¢92
4 wk. agoBuy22¢8
4 wk. agoSell21¢100
4 wk. agoBuy21¢42
4 wk. agoBuy21¢59
4 wk. agoBuy78¢64
4 wk. agoBuy21¢4
4 wk. agoBuy21¢8
4 wk. agoBuy22¢12
4 wk. agoBuy22¢8
4 wk. agoBuy22¢12
4 wk. agoBuy23¢8
4 wk. agoBuy23¢12
4 wk. agoBuy77¢368
4 wk. agoBuy23¢100
4 wk. agoBuy23¢100
4 wk. agoBuy23¢86
4 wk. agoSell77¢74

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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