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Updated 4 days ago

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

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45 %

chance

▲ +0.1%1h▲ +0.1%24h▼ −10.3%1W
Yes 45¢No 55¢

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

7 outcomes
See all 7 outcomes

Total volume

$132.7K

24h vol.

$1.1K

1w vol.

$20.9K

1m vol.

$58.6K

Liquidity

$22.5K

Bid / Ask

45¢ / 45¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

46¢

Start date

Feb 6, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,884 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢
Bids (buy)Size
44¢$10
44¢$62
44¢$305
43¢$22
43¢$600
43¢$792
43¢$200
43¢$104
37¢$607
36¢$97
Asks (sell)Size
47¢$10
47¢$392
47¢$96
47¢$1,302
48¢$419
49¢$500
51¢$700
54¢$30
54¢$40
58¢$10

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 67%Sells 33%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 days agoBuy54¢5
4 days agoSell54¢5
4 days agoSell54¢5
4 days agoBuy54¢5
4 days agoBuy47¢2
4 days agoBuy53¢2
4 days agoSell44¢0
4 days agoBuy44¢0
4 days agoSell50¢75
4 days agoBuy50¢30
4 days agoSell50¢35
4 days agoBuy51¢10
4 days agoBuy50¢41
4 days agoSell50¢41
4 days agoSell43¢16
4 days agoBuy43¢6
4 days agoBuy43¢10
4 days agoBuy46¢682
4 days agoBuy54¢100
4 days agoBuy54¢100
4 days agoSell46¢100
4 days agoBuy54¢100
4 days agoSell46¢178
4 days agoBuy54¢43
4 days agoSell45¢51
4 days agoBuy55¢10
4 days agoBuy47¢116
4 days agoBuy53¢116
4 days agoSell43¢10
4 days agoBuy43¢10
4 days agoBuy50¢151
4 days agoBuy50¢51
4 days agoBuy50¢100
4 days agoBuy50¢151
4 days agoBuy50¢151
4 days agoSell51¢2
4 days agoBuy51¢2
4 days agoSell51¢900
4 days agoBuy51¢70
4 days agoBuy51¢100
4 days agoBuy51¢150
4 days agoBuy51¢100
4 days agoBuy51¢354
4 days agoSell49¢22
4 days agoSell48¢104
4 days agoBuy49¢106
4 days agoBuy51¢6
4 days agoBuy51¢100
4 days agoBuy49¢70
4 days agoBuy51¢60

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

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