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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
3 %
chance
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
7 outcomesTotal volume
$70K
24h vol.
$186.399
1w vol.
$1.8K
1m vol.
$5.5K
Liquidity
$70.5K
Bid / Ask
3¢ / 3¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
3¢
Start date
Feb 6, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2028
ends in 1 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 45 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 45 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 11 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 46 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 36 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 154 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 112 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 34 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 90 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 60 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 23 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 23 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 2,138 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 68 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 1,000 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 1,000 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 70 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 18 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 18 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 101 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 71 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 134 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 120 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 98¢ | 14 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 162 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 98¢ | 26 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 101 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 35 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 30 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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