← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 7 hr. ago
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Other
14 %
chance
▼ −1.0%1h▼ −1.0%24h▲ +1.5%1W
Yes 14¢No 87¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
4 outcomes- June 30, 202738 %
- December 3114 %
- September 305 %
- July 150 %
Total volume
$684.5K
24h vol.
$5.4K
1w vol.
$48K
1m vol.
$664.5K
Liquidity
$62.1K
Bid / Ask
13¢ / 14¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
13¢
Start date
Feb 17, 2026
End date
Dec 31, 2026
ends in 5 mo.
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Bids (buy)Size
14¢$4,096
13¢$12,476
12¢$26,799
11¢$22,963
10¢$10,235
9¢$2,673
7¢$214
6¢$258
5¢$1,881
4¢$3,243
Asks (sell)Size
15¢$8,110
16¢$4,397
17¢$6,579
18¢$2,855
19¢$300
20¢$2,500
24¢$800
25¢$2,700
26¢$195
29¢$1,000
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
uses 1 credit
Recent trades (50)
Buys 39%Sells 61%
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day ago | Buy | 86¢ | 30 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 14¢ | 30 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 85¢ | 199 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 15¢ | 199 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 86¢ | 300 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 86¢ | 300 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 86¢ | 33 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 86¢ | 33 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 86¢ | 17 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 86¢ | 17 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 86¢ | 16 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 86¢ | 16 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 86¢ | 251 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 86¢ | 132 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 86¢ | 120 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 85¢ | 7 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 15¢ | 7 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 85¢ | 15 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 15¢ | 15 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 85¢ | 50 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 15¢ | 50 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 85¢ | 50 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 15¢ | 50 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 85¢ | 6 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 15¢ | 6 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 85¢ | 20 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 15¢ | 20 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 85¢ | 50 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 15¢ | 40 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 85¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 86¢ | 20 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 86¢ | 20 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 86¢ | 65 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 86¢ | 15 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 86¢ | 50 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 83¢ | 100 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 83¢ | 88 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 83¢ | 12 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 84¢ | 483 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 84¢ | 63 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 84¢ | 420 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 83¢ | 50 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 84¢ | 20 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 17¢ | 30 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 81¢ | 49 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 81¢ | 49 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 81¢ | 31 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 81¢ | 31 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 20¢ | 77 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 80¢ | 77 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.