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Updated 11 hr. ago
Will San Marino win Junior Eurovision 2026?
0 %
chance
Market brief
- Down 9.2 pp over the past week (−3.5 pp in the last 24 hours), after touching 9% on Oct 18, 2026.
- Last 50 trades: 4 buys, 46 sells; the largest was $5K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 2% of Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (425 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 9 mo. (Aug 1, 2027).
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Junior Eurovision Winner 2026
13 outcomesTotal volume
$12.3K
24h vol.
$11.8K
1w vol.
$11.9K
1m vol.
$11.9K
Liquidity
$12.9K
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Jun 9, 2026
End date
Aug 1, 2027
ends in 9 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 425 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.6% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
No orders
Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 214 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 5,000 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 5,000 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 210 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 450 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 10 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 40 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 5 |
| 14 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 95 |
| 14 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 26 |
| 14 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 101 |
| 14 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 19 |
| 14 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 120 |
| 14 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 10 |
| 14 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 80 |
| 14 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 81 |
| 14 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 140 |
| 14 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 7 |
| 14 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 13 |
| 14 hr. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 50 |
| 14 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 40 |
| 14 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 5 |
| 14 hr. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 16 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 30 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 7 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 8 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 30 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 1¢ | 40 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 1¢ | 3 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 1¢ | 7 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 1¢ | 3 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 5 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 33 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 10 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 6 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 18 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 25 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 8 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 20 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 30 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 10 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 28 |
| 4 mo. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 47 |
| 4 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 8 |
| 4 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 14 |
| 4 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 47 |
| 4 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 9 |
| 5 mo. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 10 |
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