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Updated 13 min. ago

Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Politics
Watch this market

48 %

chance

▲ +19.3%1h▼ −23.1%24h▼ −21.0%1W
Yes 48¢No 52¢

Market brief

  • Down 20.9 pp over the past week (−23.1 pp in the last 24 hours), after touching 72% on Oct 23, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 26 buys, 24 sells; the largest was $1K (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 50% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 35–65% one day before the end resolved YES (117 cases).
  • Scheduled to end in 12 hr. (Oct 25, 2026).

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Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

12 outcomes
See all 12 outcomes

Total volume

$1.6M

24h vol.

$227.7K

1w vol.

$679.9K

1m vol.

$1.2M

Liquidity

$74.4K

Bid / Ask

46¢ / 50¢

Spread 4¢

Last trade

49¢

Start date

Jul 1, 2026

End date

Oct 25, 2026

ends in 12 hr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 117 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 35–65% one day before resolution, 50.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 47.7%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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  • Smart moneyPro+There is a current smart-money reading on this market: how the wallets whose record holds up are positioned.
See plans · 7 days for $3
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades

Orderbook

Spread: 9¢
Bids (buy)Size
46¢$20
46¢$201
45¢$5
45¢$10
45¢$50
44¢$350
43¢$3,110
43¢$5
41¢$1,395
40¢$50
Asks (sell)Size
55¢$155
55¢$30
55¢$16
55¢$347
55¢$6,441
56¢$200
58¢$421
59¢$797
61¢$300
62¢$2,018

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 80%Sells 20%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
18 min. agoSell46¢1,513
18 min. agoSell48¢50
18 min. agoSell48¢20
18 min. agoSell48¢31
18 min. agoSell49¢30
18 min. agoSell49¢56
19 min. agoBuy55¢9
20 min. agoBuy55¢2
21 min. agoBuy55¢9
22 min. agoBuy55¢92
23 min. agoSell47¢76
26 min. agoBuy50¢200
26 min. agoBuy50¢805
29 min. agoBuy49¢2
30 min. agoSell43¢15
32 min. agoSell41¢5
32 min. agoBuy49¢2,045
33 min. agoBuy49¢15
35 min. agoBuy49¢152
44 min. agoSell49¢450
45 min. agoSell57¢14
45 min. agoSell50¢20
46 min. agoSell50¢5
46 min. agoSell50¢13
46 min. agoSell41¢10
47 min. agoBuy50¢32
47 min. agoSell38¢10
47 min. agoBuy38¢404
47 min. agoBuy38¢1,355
47 min. agoBuy38¢96
47 min. agoBuy38¢91
49 min. agoBuy38¢49
53 min. agoBuy38¢701
53 min. agoBuy37¢70
54 min. agoSell38¢65
54 min. agoBuy38¢5
54 min. agoSell32¢9
55 min. agoSell31¢5
55 min. agoSell32¢10
56 min. agoSell31¢5
56 min. agoSell31¢456
57 min. agoSell35¢81
57 min. agoBuy35¢2,290
58 min. agoSell34¢41
58 min. agoBuy34¢2,367
59 min. agoBuy30¢56
59 min. agoBuy30¢598
59 min. agoBuy30¢13
60 min. agoBuy33¢416
60 min. agoBuy32¢139

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