← Dashboard · Culture
Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Ukraine win Junior Eurovision 2026?
15 %
chance
Market brief
- Last 50 trades: 29 buys, 21 sells; the largest was $122 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 22% of Polymarket Culture markets priced 15–35% seven days before the end resolved YES (158 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 9 mo. (Aug 1, 2027).
◆ Your call
What's your number?
Pick your own probability before you read the AI — then see how it compares.
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Junior Eurovision Winner 2026
13 outcomesTotal volume
$2.2K
24h vol.
$13.24
1w vol.
$26.48
1m vol.
$111.38
Liquidity
$409.976
Bid / Ask
13¢ / 17¢
Spread 4¢
Last trade
12¢
Start date
Jun 9, 2026
End date
Aug 1, 2027
ends in 9 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 158 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 21.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 13¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 21 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 11 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 21 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 70¢ | 11 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 1 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 1 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 17 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 17 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 70¢ | 1 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 1 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 10 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 70¢ | 10 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 41 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 41 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 10 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 10 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 50 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 50 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 15 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 15 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 70 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 75¢ | 70 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 33¢ | 374 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 51 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 70 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 50 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 52 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 14 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 50 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 67¢ | 87 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 51 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 72¢ | 51 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 66¢ | 14 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 34¢ | 14 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 37¢ | 115 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 37¢ | 50 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 37¢ | 65 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 62¢ | 14 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 14 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 60¢ | 43 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 18 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 25 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 10 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 2 |
Related markets
The most-traded open Culture markets from other events.
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?18 %▲ +5.2%
- Will Mookie Betts win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0 %▼ −0.2%
- Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?73 %▼ −4.0%
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?0 %▼ −5.1%
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?0 %▼ −0.3%
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?0 %▲ +0.0%
Keep exploring
Moving today
Open markets with the biggest 24-hour moves on real volume.