← Dashboard · Culture
Updated 11 hr. ago
Will North Macedonia win Junior Eurovision 2026?
0 %
chance
Market brief
- Down 11.5 pp over the past week (−8.8 pp in the last 24 hours), after touching 13% on Oct 20, 2026.
- Last 50 trades: 3 buys, 47 sells; the largest was $5K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 2% of Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (425 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 9 mo. (Aug 1, 2027).
◆ Your call
What's your number?
Pick your own probability before you read the AI — then see how it compares.
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Junior Eurovision Winner 2026
13 outcomesTotal volume
$11.6K
24h vol.
$11.2K
1w vol.
$11.3K
1m vol.
$11.3K
Liquidity
$12.7K
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Jun 9, 2026
End date
Aug 1, 2027
ends in 9 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 425 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.6% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
No orders
Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 4,728 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 5,000 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 210 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 450 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 23 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 15 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 100 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 5 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 95 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 19 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 120 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 10 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 10 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 80 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 81 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 140 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 7 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 13 |
| 14 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 28 |
| 14 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 40 |
| 14 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 5 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 3¢ | 30 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 3¢ | 8 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 3¢ | 7 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 3¢ | 40 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 3¢ | 3 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 2¢ | 7 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 2¢ | 3 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 20¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 33 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 5 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 40 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 25 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 18 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 8 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 10 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 30 |
| 4 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 8 |
| 4 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 14 |
| 5 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 10 |
| 5 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 7 |
| 5 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 60 |
| 5 mo. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 12 |
| 5 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 12 |
| 5 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 3 |
| 5 mo. ago | Sell | 40¢ | 31 |
| 5 mo. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 10 |
| 5 mo. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 3 |
Related markets
The most-traded open Culture markets from other events.
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?18 %▲ +5.2%
- Will Mookie Betts win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0 %▼ −0.2%
- Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?73 %▼ −4.0%
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?0 %▼ −5.1%
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?0 %▼ −0.3%
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?0 %▲ +0.0%
Keep exploring
Moving today
Open markets with the biggest 24-hour moves on real volume.