Skip to content

← Dashboard · Culture

Updated 10 hr. ago

Will Spain win Junior Eurovision 2026?

Will Spain win Junior Eurovision 2026?

Other
Watch this market

0 %

chance

▼ −20.1%1h▼ −24.9%24h▼ −25.4%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Market brief

  • Down 25.4 pp over the past week (−24.9 pp in the last 24 hours), after touching 49% on Oct 24, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 10 buys, 40 sells; the largest was $5K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (425 cases).
  • Scheduled to end in 9 mo. (Aug 1, 2027).

◆ Your call

What's your number?

Pick your own probability before you read the AI — then see how it compares.

50%
Saved in this browser only. No account needed.

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Total volume

$11.9K

24h vol.

$11.5K

1w vol.

$11.6K

1m vol.

$11.6K

Liquidity

$40K

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Jun 9, 2026

End date

Aug 1, 2027

ends in 9 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 425 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.6% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
  • Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
See plans · 7 days for $3
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades

Orderbook

Bids (buy)Size

No orders

Asks (sell)Size
0¢$37,458
1¢$45
1¢$51
10¢$51
15¢$50
20¢$51
35¢$22
35¢$235
35¢$103
35¢$100

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 2%Sells 98%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
10 hr. agoSell0¢50
10 hr. agoBuy1¢52
13 hr. agoSell0¢4,172
13 hr. agoSell0¢5,000
13 hr. agoSell0¢210
13 hr. agoSell0¢450
13 hr. agoSell0¢100
13 hr. agoSell0¢15
13 hr. agoSell0¢5
13 hr. agoSell0¢95
13 hr. agoSell0¢136
13 hr. agoSell0¢66
13 hr. agoSell0¢120
13 hr. agoSell0¢19
13 hr. agoSell0¢10
13 hr. agoSell2¢13
13 hr. agoSell0¢80
13 hr. agoSell0¢81
14 hr. agoSell1¢140
14 hr. agoSell1¢7
14 hr. agoSell2¢13
14 hr. agoSell5¢163
14 hr. agoSell18¢13
14 hr. agoSell18¢30
14 hr. agoSell25¢5
14 hr. agoSell31¢5
14 hr. agoSell28¢172
15 hr. agoBuy56¢75
17 hr. agoSell25¢156
2 days agoSell9¢7
2 days agoSell12¢30
3 days agoBuy31¢66
4 days agoBuy30¢3
5 days agoBuy31¢3
6 days agoSell12¢7
6 days agoBuy35¢3
2 wk. agoBuy34¢10
3 wk. agoBuy40¢5
3 wk. agoBuy45¢26
3 wk. agoBuy5¢32
3 mo. agoSell6¢7
3 mo. agoSell6¢7
3 mo. agoSell6¢5
3 mo. agoSell6¢23
3 mo. agoSell6¢25
3 mo. agoSell6¢18
3 mo. agoSell6¢8
3 mo. agoSell6¢10
3 mo. agoSell6¢30
3 mo. agoSell6¢1

Related markets

The most-traded open Culture markets from other events.

Keep exploring