Skip to content

← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 1 wk. ago

Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?

Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?

Politics
Log in for watchlist

16 %

chance

▲ +0.2%24h▼ −0.5%1W
Yes 16¢No 84¢

Total volume

$432.5K

24h vol.

$6.1K

1w vol.

$35.3K

1m vol.

$411.2K

Liquidity

$176.7K

Bid / Ask

16¢ / 16¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

16¢

Start date

Jun 26, 2026

End date

Apr 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
17¢$40
17¢$100
17¢$150
16¢$31
16¢$120
16¢$1,071
16¢$5,000
16¢$8,272
16¢$3,752
15¢$7,484
Asks (sell)Size
17¢$684
17¢$100
17¢$235
17¢$4,633
18¢$1,983
18¢$200
18¢$5,109
18¢$109
18¢$1,150
18¢$9,000

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 71%Sells 29%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 wk. agoBuy83¢5
1 wk. agoBuy17¢5
1 wk. agoBuy17¢294
1 wk. agoSell17¢56
1 wk. agoBuy83¢204
1 wk. agoSell17¢34
1 wk. agoBuy17¢12
1 wk. agoSell17¢5
1 wk. agoBuy83¢7
1 wk. agoBuy83¢6
1 wk. agoBuy17¢6
1 wk. agoBuy17¢6
1 wk. agoSell17¢4
1 wk. agoBuy83¢2
1 wk. agoBuy17¢6
1 wk. agoBuy83¢6
1 wk. agoBuy83¢10
1 wk. agoBuy17¢10
1 wk. agoBuy17¢6
1 wk. agoBuy83¢6
1 wk. agoBuy17¢6
1 wk. agoBuy83¢6
1 wk. agoBuy83¢37
1 wk. agoBuy17¢37
1 wk. agoSell83¢100
1 wk. agoBuy83¢51
1 wk. agoBuy83¢9
1 wk. agoSell17¢40
1 wk. agoBuy16¢636
1 wk. agoBuy83¢5
1 wk. agoBuy83¢100
1 wk. agoSell17¢74
1 wk. agoBuy83¢100
1 wk. agoBuy84¢20
1 wk. agoBuy84¢6
1 wk. agoSell16¢38
1 wk. agoSell16¢200
1 wk. agoBuy84¢93
1 wk. agoSell84¢56
1 wk. agoSell16¢56
1 wk. agoSell84¢7
1 wk. agoSell16¢7
1 wk. agoSell84¢5
1 wk. agoSell16¢5
1 wk. agoSell84¢5
1 wk. agoSell16¢5
1 wk. agoBuy84¢30
1 wk. agoBuy16¢30
1 wk. agoBuy16¢6
1 wk. agoSell16¢6

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.