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Updated 1 wk. ago

Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
16 %
chance
Next Prime Minister of Spain?
16 outcomesTotal volume
$432.5K
24h vol.
$6.1K
1w vol.
$35.3K
1m vol.
$411.2K
Liquidity
$176.7K
Bid / Ask
16¢ / 16¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
16¢
Start date
Jun 26, 2026
End date
Apr 1, 2028
ends in 1 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 294 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 56 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 204 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 34 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 12 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 7 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 6 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 6 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 6 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 4 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 2 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 6 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 6 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 10 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 10 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 6 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 6 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 6 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 6 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 37 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 37 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 100 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 51 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 9 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 40 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 636 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 100 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 74 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 100 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 20 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 6 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 38 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 200 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 93 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 56 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 56 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 7 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 7 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 30 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 30 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 6 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 6 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
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