← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 1 wk. ago

Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
0 %
chance
Next Prime Minister of Spain?
16 outcomesTotal volume
$191.9K
24h vol.
$16.044
1w vol.
$28.3K
1m vol.
$188.1K
Liquidity
$102K
Bid / Ask
0¢ / 0¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Jun 26, 2026
End date
Apr 1, 2028
ends in 1 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 1,468 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 1,193 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 275 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 516 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 500 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 16 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 110 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 80 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 30 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 826 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 826 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 74 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 74 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 80 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 80 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 10 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 10 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 74 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 74 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 1,330 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 1,330 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 500 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 500 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 1,000 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 1,000 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 20 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 20 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 198 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 178 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 20 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 100 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 100 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 79 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 79 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 100 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 100 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 167 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 167 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 400 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 400 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 80 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 80 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 13 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 13 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1,357 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,357 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 121 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 121 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 135 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 115 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.