← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Ester Muñoz be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
0 %
chance
Next Prime Minister of Spain?
16 outcomesTotal volume
$17.4K
24h vol.
$3.7K
1w vol.
$5.5K
1m vol.
$5.6K
Liquidity
$63.1K
Bid / Ask
0¢ / 0¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Jun 26, 2026
End date
Apr 1, 2028
ends in 1 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 48 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 48 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 13 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 13 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 99 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 99 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 16 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 16 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 52 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 52 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 2 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 251 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 251 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 35 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 35 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 13 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 13 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 40 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 40 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 52 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 52 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 68 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 68 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 232 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 232 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 550 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 550 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 550 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 550 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 40 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 40 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 9 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 9 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.