Skip to content

← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 1 wk. ago

Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?

Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?

Politics
Log in for watchlist

1 %

chance

▲ +0.1%24h▼ −0.4%1W
Yes 1¢No 99¢

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

16 outcomes
See all 16 outcomes

Total volume

$236.3K

24h vol.

$3.6K

1w vol.

$11.4K

1m vol.

$228.5K

Liquidity

$111.7K

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 1¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Jun 26, 2026

End date

Apr 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$2,080
0¢$145
0¢$8,146
0¢$12,699
0¢$107,465
Asks (sell)Size
1¢$364
1¢$170
1¢$6,000
2¢$200
2¢$5
2¢$2,227
3¢$3,000
3¢$196
3¢$401
3¢$50

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 70%Sells 30%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 wk. agoSell1¢1,920
1 wk. agoBuy1¢1,920
1 wk. agoSell1¢170
1 wk. agoBuy1¢170
1 wk. agoBuy99¢303
1 wk. agoBuy1¢303
1 wk. agoBuy99¢22
1 wk. agoBuy1¢22
1 wk. agoBuy99¢38
1 wk. agoBuy1¢38
1 wk. agoBuy99¢50
1 wk. agoBuy1¢50
1 wk. agoBuy99¢84
1 wk. agoBuy1¢84
1 wk. agoBuy99¢75
1 wk. agoBuy1¢75
1 wk. agoBuy99¢87
1 wk. agoBuy1¢87
1 wk. agoBuy99¢40
1 wk. agoBuy1¢40
1 wk. agoBuy1¢144
1 wk. agoBuy99¢144
1 wk. agoBuy99¢1,440
1 wk. agoBuy1¢1,440
1 wk. agoBuy99¢20
1 wk. agoBuy1¢20
1 wk. agoBuy99¢5
1 wk. agoBuy1¢5
1 wk. agoBuy1¢19,645
1 wk. agoSell3¢6
1 wk. agoBuy97¢10
1 wk. agoSell3¢50
1 wk. agoSell3¢95
1 wk. agoSell3¢80
1 wk. agoSell3¢11
1 wk. agoSell3¢260
1 wk. agoSell3¢229
1 wk. agoSell2¢50
1 wk. agoSell1¢150
1 wk. agoSell1¢6
1 wk. agoSell1¢204
1 wk. agoSell1¢158
1 wk. agoSell1¢1,390
1 wk. agoSell1¢9,552
1 wk. agoSell1¢150
1 wk. agoSell1¢61
1 wk. agoBuy100¢61
1 wk. agoSell0¢7,122
1 wk. agoBuy0¢31,972
1 wk. agoSell0¢3,917

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.