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Updated 6 days ago

Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?

Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?

Politics
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3 %

chance

▼ −0.5%1h▲ +0.5%24h▲ +1.1%1W
Yes 3¢No 97¢

Total volume

$270.8K

24h vol.

$6.9K

1w vol.

$32.5K

1m vol.

$257.7K

Liquidity

$111.4K

Bid / Ask

2¢ / 3¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

3¢

Start date

Jun 26, 2026

End date

Mar 31, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
3¢$40
2¢$20
2¢$44
2¢$69
2¢$154
2¢$960
1¢$448
1¢$1,000
1¢$417
1¢$460
Asks (sell)Size
4¢$20
4¢$80
4¢$553
5¢$78
5¢$360
5¢$70
5¢$360
5¢$1,093
6¢$499
6¢$3,001

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 72%Sells 28%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
6 days agoSell2¢2,621
6 days agoSell98¢173
6 days agoSell98¢1,400
6 days agoBuy3¢360
6 days agoBuy3¢553
6 days agoSell97¢37
6 days agoBuy3¢38
6 days agoBuy3¢20
6 days agoBuy3¢40
7 days agoBuy97¢8
7 days agoSell97¢8
7 days agoBuy5¢21
7 days agoBuy95¢11
7 days agoBuy95¢10
7 days agoBuy4¢12,681
7 days agoSell7¢170
7 days agoBuy93¢400
7 days agoBuy93¢700
7 days agoBuy93¢718
7 days agoBuy93¢61
7 days agoBuy93¢679
7 days agoBuy94¢600
7 days agoBuy94¢89
7 days agoBuy94¢538
7 days agoBuy94¢43
7 days agoBuy94¢63
7 days agoBuy95¢9
7 days agoBuy95¢28
7 days agoBuy95¢127
7 days agoBuy95¢50
7 days agoBuy95¢66
7 days agoBuy95¢9
7 days agoBuy95¢89
7 days agoBuy95¢80
7 days agoBuy96¢400
7 days agoBuy96¢12
7 days agoBuy96¢9
7 days agoBuy96¢9
7 days agoBuy96¢9
7 days agoBuy96¢5
7 days agoSell4¢500
7 days agoBuy96¢600
7 days agoBuy96¢248
7 days agoSell4¢70
7 days agoBuy96¢200
7 days agoBuy96¢242
7 days agoBuy97¢100
7 days agoBuy98¢91
7 days agoSell2¢2,100
7 days agoSell2¢750

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.