← Dashboard · Geopolitics
Updated just now

14 %
chance
Total volume
$40.5K
24h vol.
$19.6K
1w vol.
$21.3K
1m vol.
$40.3K
Liquidity
$20.5K
Bid / Ask
14¢ / 15¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
14¢
Start date
Jul 13, 2026
End date
Jul 1, 2027
ends in 10 mo.
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 50 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 50 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 2 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 2 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 57 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 41 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 16 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 23 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 23 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 115 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 115 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 62 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 5 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 57 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 6,400 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 894 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 24 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 40 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 139 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 40 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 200 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 30 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 656 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 500 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 50 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 2,143 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 125 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 625 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 370 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 50 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 500 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 15 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 370 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 370 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 51 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 51 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 25 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 25 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 25 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 25 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 25 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 25 |
| 11 hr. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 294 |
| 11 hr. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 294 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 25 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 25 |
| 16 hr. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 45 |
| 16 hr. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 45 |
| 18 hr. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 57 |
| 18 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 57 |
◆ Smart money
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.