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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Tech

2 %

chance

▼ −0.1%1h▲ +0.1%24h▼ −0.7%1W

Yes 2¢No 98¢

Total volume

$1.4K

24h vol.

$170.41

1w vol.

$303.17

1m vol.

$384.91

Liquidity

$44.1K

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 3¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

3¢

Start date

Jul 17, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢

Bids (buy)Size

3¢$3

0¢$733

0¢$6,847

Asks (sell)Size

3¢$100

3¢$346

4¢$10

5¢$21

5¢$10,581

36¢$40

36¢$777

45¢$95

45¢$25

46¢$45

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (31)

Buys 51%Sells 49%

Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
Time	Side	Price	Size
4 wk. ago	Buy	97¢	9
4 wk. ago	Buy	3¢	9
1 mo. ago	Buy	3¢	29
1 mo. ago	Sell	3¢	10
1 mo. ago	Sell	3¢	19
1 mo. ago	Sell	0¢	10
1 mo. ago	Buy	0¢	10
1 mo. ago	Sell	1¢	5
1 mo. ago	Buy	1¢	5
1 mo. ago	Buy	99¢	5
1 mo. ago	Buy	1¢	5
2 mo. ago	Buy	5¢	20
2 mo. ago	Sell	5¢	20
2 mo. ago	Buy	4¢	28
2 mo. ago	Sell	4¢	28
2 mo. ago	Buy	4¢	33
2 mo. ago	Sell	4¢	33
3 mo. ago	Sell	0¢	300
3 mo. ago	Buy	0¢	34
3 mo. ago	Buy	0¢	166
3 mo. ago	Buy	0¢	100
3 mo. ago	Sell	1¢	301
3 mo. ago	Buy	0¢	134
3 mo. ago	Buy	0¢	31
3 mo. ago	Buy	1¢	100
3 mo. ago	Buy	1¢	5
3 mo. ago	Buy	1¢	21
3 mo. ago	Buy	1¢	10
3 mo. ago	Sell	2¢	300
3 mo. ago	Buy	2¢	268
3 mo. ago	Buy	3¢	32

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.