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Updated 1 wk. ago

Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Politics

5 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▲ +0.5%1W

Yes 5¢No 95¢

Total volume

$76.1K

24h vol.

$7.81

1w vol.

$120.11

1m vol.

$5.5K

Liquidity

$34.3K

Bid / Ask

4¢ / 6¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

4¢

Start date

Jul 17, 2026

End date

Apr 1, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢

Bids (buy)Size

4¢$1,289

3¢$1,110

2¢$1,720

1¢$36,490

Asks (sell)Size

5¢$860

6¢$1,234

7¢$21,216

9¢$155

10¢$92

11¢$205

13¢$20

14¢$256

15¢$90

36¢$40

Snapshot from cache

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 26%Sells 74%

Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
Time	Side	Price	Size
1 wk. ago	Sell	95¢	4
1 wk. ago	Buy	95¢	4
1 wk. ago	Buy	96¢	4
1 wk. ago	Sell	96¢	4
1 wk. ago	Sell	4¢	300
1 wk. ago	Sell	96¢	240
1 wk. ago	Buy	4¢	50
1 wk. ago	Buy	4¢	10
2 wk. ago	Buy	95¢	5
2 wk. ago	Sell	95¢	5
2 wk. ago	Sell	94¢	1
2 wk. ago	Buy	94¢	1
2 wk. ago	Buy	95¢	1,890
2 wk. ago	Sell	95¢	45
2 wk. ago	Sell	95¢	1,845
2 wk. ago	Sell	95¢	2,844
2 wk. ago	Sell	5¢	52
2 wk. ago	Buy	95¢	600
2 wk. ago	Buy	95¢	56
2 wk. ago	Sell	5¢	2,137
2 wk. ago	Sell	95¢	6
2 wk. ago	Sell	5¢	6
2 wk. ago	Buy	96¢	6
2 wk. ago	Sell	96¢	6
2 wk. ago	Sell	95¢	6
2 wk. ago	Sell	5¢	6
2 wk. ago	Sell	95¢	7
2 wk. ago	Sell	5¢	7
2 wk. ago	Buy	96¢	7
2 wk. ago	Sell	96¢	7
2 wk. ago	Sell	95¢	8
2 wk. ago	Sell	5¢	8
2 wk. ago	Buy	96¢	6
2 wk. ago	Sell	96¢	6
2 wk. ago	Buy	96¢	8
2 wk. ago	Sell	96¢	8
2 wk. ago	Sell	95¢	5
2 wk. ago	Sell	5¢	5
2 wk. ago	Buy	96¢	5
2 wk. ago	Sell	96¢	5
2 wk. ago	Sell	95¢	3
2 wk. ago	Sell	5¢	3
2 wk. ago	Sell	95¢	7
2 wk. ago	Sell	5¢	7
2 wk. ago	Sell	95¢	1
2 wk. ago	Sell	5¢	1
2 wk. ago	Sell	95¢	4
2 wk. ago	Sell	5¢	4
2 wk. ago	Buy	96¢	4
2 wk. ago	Sell	96¢	4

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