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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Tech
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1 %

chance

▲ +0.1%24h▲ +0.1%1W
Yes 1¢No 99¢

#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?

46 outcomes
See all 46 outcomes

Total volume

$18K

24h vol.

$35.3

1w vol.

$670.6

1m vol.

$14.3K

Liquidity

$38K

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 1¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Jul 17, 2026

End date

Apr 1, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$100
0¢$336
0¢$800
0¢$11,225
Asks (sell)Size
1¢$1,206
6¢$101
6¢$153
6¢$200
7¢$249
9¢$20
12¢$200
12¢$100
39¢$150
39¢$40

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 50%Sells 50%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy1¢9,180
1 mo. agoSell1¢9,180
1 mo. agoBuy1¢211
1 mo. agoSell1¢195
1 mo. agoSell1¢6
1 mo. agoSell1¢10
1 mo. agoSell1¢80
1 mo. agoBuy1¢55
1 mo. agoBuy1¢25
1 mo. agoBuy1¢190
1 mo. agoSell1¢190
1 mo. agoBuy100¢5
1 mo. agoBuy0¢5
1 mo. agoSell1¢150
1 mo. agoBuy1¢100
1 mo. agoBuy1¢40
1 mo. agoBuy2¢10
1 mo. agoSell97¢5
1 mo. agoSell4¢5
1 mo. agoBuy98¢5
1 mo. agoBuy2¢5
1 mo. agoSell96¢5
1 mo. agoBuy96¢5
1 mo. agoBuy98¢5
1 mo. agoBuy2¢5
1 mo. agoSell96¢5
1 mo. agoBuy96¢0
1 mo. agoSell4¢5
1 mo. agoBuy98¢5
1 mo. agoBuy2¢5
2 mo. agoSell96¢7
2 mo. agoSell4¢7
2 mo. agoSell96¢7
2 mo. agoSell4¢7
2 mo. agoBuy98¢7
2 mo. agoBuy2¢7
2 mo. agoSell96¢6
2 mo. agoSell4¢6
2 mo. agoBuy98¢7
2 mo. agoBuy2¢7
2 mo. agoSell96¢4
2 mo. agoSell4¢4
2 mo. agoSell96¢7
2 mo. agoSell4¢7
2 mo. agoBuy98¢6
2 mo. agoBuy2¢6
2 mo. agoBuy98¢4
2 mo. agoSell98¢4
2 mo. agoBuy98¢7
2 mo. agoSell98¢7

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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Related markets

The most-traded open Tech markets from other events.